@lifeinthePNW @feloneouscat The kids are back in town!

@feloneouscat We. Are. Saved.

@sirgeefive Professionally, I am 100% on the script. I support Biden and tout his accomplishments at doors, but voters are telling me what they think. I am relaying that message. What I say on counter-social won't have any impact on this election at all, so I don't see what you mean by "detractor".

@sirgeefive I do support Biden, in a professional capacity. But I am saying that I don't believe that we win with him, and that the party would be better served to find an alternative right away. I have already explained why I think we should make that change: in short he won't win, and so Kamela will not be VP. She will not be available to step in. The ticket is a loser because they have alienated 10-15% of their voters who won't come back for Joe.

@sirgeefive There us a process if a candidate steps down. The dem have a convention. It would be a contested convention, and for 3-4 days candidates would vie to win the 3900 pledged delegates that Joe had. I suspect that Kamala Harris would win. Then she gets to pick her VP. I read an article that made the case for Senator Mark Kelly.

@sirgeefive Harris gets to use that money, even if Joe steps down, since she is on the ticket that raised it. Other candidates don't. It's a good argument for going with Harris.

@sirgeefive solution? A younger vibrant candidate. That probably will be Kamala Harris. That would be fine with me. Her numbers are tainted with young voters by association with Joe, but I think she can overcome that. Someone just suggested Pete/Gretchen; great combo. Super good, but the congressional black caucus will make a stink.

@sirgeefive Sigh. It's not a matter of whether he can govern. It's a matter of whether he can communicate clearly enough to win. I don't believe he can. I would love another 4 years of quiet, competent governance. But I believe that if Joe stays, Trump wins, and (based on a poll I haven't even seen, but infer the results of) we lose both the House and the Senate in the process due to low turnout. #politics

@sirgeefive I mentioned Trump in the second post. I used the word "aberration", rather than his name, because saying his name makes me angry.

The straw man is that you have twice questioned my right to provide a diagnosis. Strictly, "cognitive decline" isn't a disease, and thus can't be diagnosed, so you aren't even using the word "diagnosis" properly. But to be clear, I am not trying to provide a diagnosis, but rather, a political assessment.

@sirgeefive I am not giving a diagnosis. Enough with that straw man. I am giving a political assessment. If Joe stays at the top of the ticket we have less chance to win than if he steps down. The rest was simply showing my work. I canvass, I organize, and I run a political office. I talk to actual voters that are not in my bubble of relationships.

@sirgeefive I form my belief based on multiple sources. As anyone should. I take all available data points (that I deem trustworthy) and compare them to my cognitive model of the world. If they don't fit my model, I revise it.

@sirgeefive Right, well, you are asking me to tell you what all voters think? I can't obviously. But I can tell you what I heard canvassing today, as I walked the pavement, or what I hear in the political office I work in, and what recent polling says. Oh, and while I can't tell you what internal Dem. polling says, I can tell you that both Schumer and Jefferies talked to Joe about stepping back after they received that internal polling. You can figure out what it showed them. #politics

@sirgeefive Nancy Pelosi thinks this, Hakeem Jeffries thinks this, and Chuck Schumer thinks this, and so do many others. AOC does not.

@sirgeefive Oh. I have a doctorate in Neuroscience from the University of British Columbia. I earned that PhD working in a psychology department.

@sirgeefive https://apnews.com/article/biden-trump-poll-drop-out-debate-democrats-59eebaca6989985c2bfbf4f72bdfa112

@sirgeefive And I am not saying he should be set aside. The electoral votes are his. But saying we should not encourage him to step aside, and voluntarily give up control of the electors, or even have a debate about it, is insane. We lose with Joe. Period. I think we win with a younger candidate. The kids will come back.

@sirgeefive We all have watched older relatives or friends in decline. The successful agers do great late in life... until they don't. Thereafter the path of decline is very steep. That is my experience. The primary votes were cast before the worst of his decline became apparent. Also, 2/3rds of voters now say he should be step back. That also is a mandate.

@sirgeefive counterpoints: 1). I know what I saw at the debate and in at least a half dozen other public appearances. In all of them there was obvious significant decline in cognitive function. So enough gaslighting. 2) it’s not about if he can do the job. It’s about whether he can win. I don’t think he can. I’m an organizer and just spent 3 hours talking to voters: strong dems only. They will vote for anyone at the top of the ticket. But their voting age kids will not. /1

@sirgeefive The kids already felt lied to. They were told Joe was a healer who would help us recover from the aberration. They were told Joe would be a transitional president that will pave the way to the next generation of leaders. They felt lied to and feel that institutional dems are deaf to intergenerational messaging. They are angry and they are saying they WILL NOT VOTE if Joe clings to power when clearly he should not. Their words. /2 #politics

@sirgeefive Agreed. Trump is a weak candidate. He won in 2016 in a #blackswan event. Then, in 2020 he lost by 7 million+ votes (albeit a slim margin in swing states). What has he done to turn it around with anyone since? The sexual assault (i.e. rape) finding against him? The 24 felony convictions? #politics