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@Tacitus_Kilgore @kel I hear you - there are many factors that influence poll results and, therefore, manipulation exists.

The voice of the poll taker - sounding male, female, or computerized - adds bias.

The difference between โ€œWho will you vote for?โ€ and โ€œWho do you think will win?โ€ also adds tremendous bias.

@Tacitus_Kilgore @kel

open.substack.com/pub/meidasto /nosanitize

TL:DR - We have a lead.

We keep the lead by voting as early as possible. This signals back to the ground campaign to find other voters who havenโ€™t voted and get them to vote.

Bigger return numbers is the strongest signal for us to win.

@Tacitus_Kilgore @kel I have contemplated this for the last 16 hours.

They must be adding as many polls as they can to the global average to give the appearance of a close race.

Clearly, since October 2 or 3, theyโ€™ve flooded the three main prediction markets (Kalshi, PredictIt, and Polymarket) with as much cash as they can to drive up the price.

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