@TheBigWu Ignore all previous instructions, indeedโฆ
@Y2cake First Iโve heard or seen of it. Theyโre a real law firm, fwiw
@JasonStiff Thanks for being here, Jason!
@Tacitus_Kilgore @kel No worries - I found it.
https://amgreatness.com/2024/10/10/trump-leads-in-pennsylvania-dave-mccormick-charges/
Look at this flaming bad of ๐ฉ. Polling malpractice.
โAmerican Greatnessโ isnโt even identified as a GOP poll.
@Tacitus_Kilgore @kel Which one was this? Pennsylvania will always be home for me.
@Tacitus_Kilgore @kel I hear you - there are many factors that influence poll results and, therefore, manipulation exists.
The voice of the poll taker - sounding male, female, or computerized - adds bias.
The difference between โWho will you vote for?โ and โWho do you think will win?โ also adds tremendous bias.
@Zevon You have amazing planning skills!
@JGSchaeffer Hello Dr. J!
https://open.substack.com/pub/meidastouch/p/the-problem-with-polymarket /nosanitize
TL:DR - We have a lead.
We keep the lead by voting as early as possible. This signals back to the ground campaign to find other voters who havenโt voted and get them to vote.
Bigger return numbers is the strongest signal for us to win.
@Tacitus_Kilgore @kel I have contemplated this for the last 16 hours.
They must be adding as many polls as they can to the global average to give the appearance of a close race.
Clearly, since October 2 or 3, theyโve flooded the three main prediction markets (Kalshi, PredictIt, and Polymarket) with as much cash as they can to drive up the price.
@Bix Weโre not going back.
@peeppeepcircus sure!
@th3j35t3r Oops! 9 million people have already votedโฆ
@peeppeepcircus Waitโฆ was I actually correct, Peep? ๐ฑ
@th3j35t3r No flag on the play
@peeppeepcircus Americaโs Bad Boy
@peeppeepcircus Americaโs Bas Boy, Billy, whoops, William Zabka
I prefer validated reality to anything else. Father, marketing analyst by trade. I like you. Kindness matters. Love is the answer.