Stephen Smith 🇺🇦
I am a long-time advocate of space exploration, settlement and commerce. Migrated from @WordsmithFL on Twitter.
Joined Nov 2022
One last look at #Idalia before bedtime ... Charts courtesy @tropicalupdates on Twitter, AKA Mike's Weather Page on Facebook, also at SpaghettiModels.com.
The #SpaceCoast will be fine unless the storm track shifts significantly east. Right now our wind forecast for Wednesday is about 24 MPH, but it's been going up all day, suggesting the cone is slowly drifting east. We're forecast for <1" of rain.
Storm surge is a big concern for Tampa Bay and points north.
Meet Tropical Storm #Idalia. The #SpaceCoast is almost in the cone now as the storm track has shifted east.
The morning forecasts for what's now called Tropical Depression 10L (#TD10L). Intensifying, still aiming for the armpit of Florida.
The ten-day forecast for us in Merritt Island on the #SpaceCoast has winds up to 22 MPH now, 60% chance of thunderstorms, so this shouldn't impact us unless the cone shifts.
#Invest93 is now Tropical Depression 10 (#TD10). At best, the models show a Category 1 hurricane. More likely, it's a moderate tropical storm. The #SpaceCoast should feel a modest impact; the 10-day forecast predicts 20 MPH winds and some thunderstorms.
The National Hurricane Center now has #Invest93 at 90%.
The latest EURO ensembles for what I'll hashtag as #Invest93 until it qualifies for a name. A little bit more bendy towards the middle of the peninsula.
Our "whatever" is now Invest 93 and is up to 80%.
Now at 70% ... It was 20% last night.
The National Weather Service is becoming a believer ...
The whatever is now up to 60%, landfall in the Sunshine State somewhere around Wednesday or later next week.
That was fast ... Overnight the National Hurricane Center increased the probability from 20% to 40% to 50%.
From Mike's Weather Page (@tropicalupdate on Twitter) ... Something wicked this way comes.
If you're in Florida, you really need to follow Mike's Weather Page on Facebook and his web site spaghettimodels.com. He's a very gifted amateur who has a lot more data than your local TV meteorologist.
Good morning from the #SpaceCoast of #Florida. At a Cocoa Beach crossover.
#Weather #Hurricane #California
@NWSSanDiego posted these on Twitter ... Indian Canyon Drive is one of the main roads into downtown Palm Springs. It's rather hosed right now thanks to #Hilary.
It should also be noted that basically the National Weather Service and the weather models got this right. The worst rain was in the eastern parts of the Inland Empire.
This week's "This Modern World" by Tom Tomorrow on Daily Kos.
Stephen Smith 🇺🇦
I am a long-time advocate of space exploration, settlement and commerce. Migrated from @WordsmithFL on Twitter.
Joined Nov 2022