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@sirgeefive Right, well, you are asking me to tell you what all voters think? I can't obviously. But I can tell you what I heard canvassing today, as I walked the pavement, or what I hear in the political office I work in, and what recent polling says. Oh, and while I can't tell you what internal Dem. polling says, I can tell you that both Schumer and Jefferies talked to Joe about stepping back after they received that internal polling. You can figure out what it showed them.

@sirgeefive Nancy Pelosi thinks this, Hakeem Jeffries thinks this, and Chuck Schumer thinks this, and so do many others. AOC does not.

@sirgeefive Oh. I have a doctorate in Neuroscience from the University of British Columbia. I earned that PhD working in a psychology department.

@sirgeefive And I am not saying he should be set aside. The electoral votes are his. But saying we should not encourage him to step aside, and voluntarily give up control of the electors, or even have a debate about it, is insane. We lose with Joe. Period. I think we win with a younger candidate. The kids will come back.

@sirgeefive We all have watched older relatives or friends in decline. The successful agers do great late in life... until they don't. Thereafter the path of decline is very steep. That is my experience. The primary votes were cast before the worst of his decline became apparent. Also, 2/3rds of voters now say he should be step back. That also is a mandate.

@sirgeefive counterpoints: 1). I know what I saw at the debate and in at least a half dozen other public appearances. In all of them there was obvious significant decline in cognitive function. So enough gaslighting. 2) it’s not about if he can do the job. It’s about whether he can win. I don’t think he can. I’m an organizer and just spent 3 hours talking to voters: strong dems only. They will vote for anyone at the top of the ticket. But their voting age kids will not. /1

@sirgeefive The kids already felt lied to. They were told Joe was a healer who would help us recover from the aberration. They were told Joe would be a transitional president that will pave the way to the next generation of leaders. They felt lied to and feel that institutional dems are deaf to intergenerational messaging. They are angry and they are saying they WILL NOT VOTE if Joe clings to power when clearly he should not. Their words. /2

@sirgeefive Agreed. Trump is a weak candidate. He won in 2016 in a event. Then, in 2020 he lost by 7 million+ votes (albeit a slim margin in swing states). What has he done to turn it around with anyone since? The sexual assault (i.e. rape) finding against him? The 24 felony convictions?

@LlamaMountainStudioArts I can't be specific. But the effect is national. I have talked to organizers around the country about it.

@LlamaMountainStudioArts Since Biden's first election, more woman aged 18 to 24 in my county registered as R than as D. For men of the same ages, more than 75% did so. This is a light blue county. I don't have all the results yet, but this trend is occurring quite widely. I can't be more specific than that.

@darcrich Answering "Write in Joe Biden" indicates you don't really understand how the system works. We are not a cult. You vote for ideas, and for values. You aren't really voting for a person.

@LlamaMountainStudioArts It's an exaggeration to say that they were lying. They were expressing their feelings. Biden has shown significant signs of aging and cognitive decline since 2020. That is an absolute truth.

@mcfate to be clear I am not young. I am a political organizer hired to get dems elected. The words I conveyed are not my opinion (which really doesn’t matter), they are words of a demographic that is turning away from us. A demographic that dems have long felt would wash our country blue in a generation. WAKE UP!

@LlamaMountainStudioArts I did nothing to “correct” these young voters. That would have been “not listening”. You have to hear what they are saying and take this problem seriously. I’m a political organizer and a data scientist. The data are clear: young are fleeing the democrats, and I am communicating why. It’s literally my job to get democrats elected up and down the ticket, and right now, that includes Biden. But this problem is real.

And the message from young folks was clear: We told you he was too old to make it 4 years, and you didn't listen. We told you to reprimand Netanyahu, and you didn't listen. We told you "don't you dare nominate Joe for another 4 years", and you didn't listen. Now it's obvious to those willing to look that Joe is too old, and we told you to stop, and guess what, you didn't listen. We are outa here.

And now, when he is clearly on the decline, both physically and cognitively, YOU ARE DOING IT AGAIN. (I should say, the voters I talked to were furious. They don't want to vote for Trump but they absolutely WILL NOT vote for Biden, and many are defecting to the Republicans). The lack of a firm hand on the Gaza situation stirred the pot long before the debate fiasco. They felt unheard, yet again! Then the hand was tipped on how dysfunctional Joe had become over the last 4 years.

The answer was along the lines of the following... The dems don't listen. It's like they are deaf to intergenerational ideas and concerns. We (the young voters) told you 4 years ago, that Joe was too old, and we were told that he was a transitional president that would bridge to the next generation of leaders. That he was a healer that could restore comity to our politics. We were told that one-term president could do these things.

Democrats have a problem that is largely unappreciated: young voters.Young voters are registering as Republicans in numbers that are shocking: even young women (the narrative that this is entirely a male phenomenon is mistaken.) I was at a youth engagement event recently and explored the question of "Why?"

@nonayadambidnes sort of. I expect: 1) that Smith appeals to the circuit. It reverses Canon, and further supports Smith’s writ of Mandamus to remove Canon. However Trump’s team will appeal this to scotus. What is interesting is that no one joined Thomas in his concurrence that brings the issue of Smith’s status to the fore. I would not put it past this craven conservative majority to support Thomas’s opinion just because. So I consider this “hope”, but it’s risky.

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Stephen

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