@KodoAndSangha @AskTheDevil They'll couch it as "he can't get a fair trial" etc., etc. But yeah, many of them do seem to be assuming conviction.
Apparently the 5 year minimum can be overruled by a judge, though Willis has indicated she will argue against that.
@RationalLeft @KodoAndSangha @AskTheDevil we have to be prepared for the shitty possibility that his case gets moved to federal jurisdictionvia the supremacy clause. That's the worst of all possible outcomes with this (aside from winning the presidency).Jay Kuo has an analysis.
@hallmarc @KodoAndSangha @AskTheDevil It isn't likely to succeed, and even if it did, the judge it appears it would go to is not seen as one Rs would want.
The federal executive has no role in supervising elections, which are regulated by Congress and conducted by the states. Hence the deep unlikeliness that "our coup was part of our duties" getting the case into federal court.
@RationalLeft @KodoAndSangha @AskTheDevil which fed judge would make the decision and if it was transferred, which judge would preside?
@hallmarc @KodoAndSangha @AskTheDevil The judge it's going to (who will decide whether it moves) was discussed yesterday, but I'd have to look again to find the name.
People were talking as if he'd also handle the case itself if it were moved (which is considered unlikely to begin with), but I haven't seen that definitely confirmed.
@RationalLeft @KodoAndSangha @AskTheDevil just read this from Jay Kuo: "Even if Meadows prevails, don’t freak out. It means Fani Willis will try Meadows’s case in federal court instead of state court. And there’s still no pardon available because she’ll be charging the same state crimes. Federal rules of procedure might apply, but it’s state substantive law around RICO and the other crimes alleged that will be applied. /1
@hallmarc @KodoAndSangha @AskTheDevil Yeah, that's what I've seen as well. It's unlikely to succeed, and not an obvious coup for Meadows even if it somehow does.
@RationalLeft @KodoAndSangha @AskTheDevil "The potential upside for Meadows is that the jury pool will be less blue because the selection will also pull from counties to the north of Atlanta which are more conservative, and the trial wouldn’t be televised. But, as Jennifer Rubin of the Washington Post noted, Meadows still would have traded a green, Kemp-appointed state court judge for an experienced Obama-appointed federal one. Not a great trade, but thanks for playing." /END