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The wind gusts forecast for 1 PM EDT on Friday. The is looking at gusts in the 50s MPH. The Big Bend approaches 100 MPH.

A catastropic drop in the millibar pressure forecast according to these models. Just in from Mike's Weather Page.

The latest on nascent ... The forecast continues to worsen, now possibly a Category 4 for the Panhandle.

The final panel is the ten-day forecast for Merritt Island, where I live (as well as ). The winds are now forecast as 29 MPH, higher than last night's 27 MPH.

The four-leaf panel model suggests this will be an event for almost all of Florida, catastrophic for some.

Images from Tropical Tidbits, Mike's Weather Page, and Weather.com.

The latest model for nascent , courtesy of Mike's Weather Page on Facebook. 941 mb in the eye is very bad.

(For the record, I'm on the Atlantic coast near Cape Canaveral.)

Projected track and intensity for nascent . Intensity as high as Category 3 for the Panhandle, meaning a major hurricane.

The Merritt Island ten-day forecast from Weather.com. They seem to be a believer in nascent . Thursday shows a 93% chance of thunderstorms with 27 MPH winds, for a storm on the opposite side of the state. But it's early.

Rather hard to see, but perhaps you can make out the shadow cast by the vapor trail from the launch.

I know this made a big fuss but, as someone who once served in law enforcement, don't give FOP more notoriety than they deserve. They're not a union; they're an advocacy group. 80% of US police unions are independent and have no affiliation with a larger group. Plenty of police unions in the past have endorsed Democratic candidates.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Police_u

That time a group of journalist investors tried to start a town called Journalista, near what is today's City of Cape Canaveral.

(It did not end well.)

From the September 3, 1935 Fort Myers News-Press ... Am I the only one who thinks this was written as a racist sterotype?

"Heap big wind and rain"

Looks like we in Florida can secure from red alert from now. Next weekend's wave is now forecast to weaken and head for the Yucatan. Anything behind that peels north into the Atlantic.

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Stephen Smith πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦

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