The Merritt Island ten-day forecast from Weather.com. They seem to be a believer in nascent . Thursday shows a 93% chance of thunderstorms with 27 MPH winds, for a storm on the opposite side of the state. But it's early.

Projected track and intensity for nascent . Intensity as high as Category 3 for the Panhandle, meaning a major hurricane.

The latest model for nascent , courtesy of Mike's Weather Page on Facebook. 941 mb in the eye is very bad.

(For the record, I'm on the Atlantic coast near Cape Canaveral.)

Crew-9 is scheduled to launch Thursday at 1:30 PM EDT from Pad 39A, but, with the forecast for the Gulf on Thursday, I won't be surprised if they take down the into the adjacent hangar and the crew shelter at the crew quarters.

blogs.nasa.gov/crew-9/

The latest on nascent ... The forecast continues to worsen, now possibly a Category 4 for the Panhandle.

The final panel is the ten-day forecast for Merritt Island, where I live (as well as ). The winds are now forecast as 29 MPH, higher than last night's 27 MPH.

The four-leaf panel model suggests this will be an event for almost all of Florida, catastrophic for some.

Images from Tropical Tidbits, Mike's Weather Page, and Weather.com.

A catastropic drop in the millibar pressure forecast according to these models. Just in from Mike's Weather Page.

Follow

From Tallahassee Democrat: Governor declares state of emergency in 41 of 67 Florida counties ahead of nascent . The storm is forecast for landfall as a Category 3 or higher, still targeting the Big Bend of the peninsula.

tallahassee.com/story/news/hur

ยท 1ยท 1ยท 2

The wind gusts forecast for 1 PM EDT on Friday. The is looking at gusts in the 50s MPH. The Big Bend approaches 100 MPH.

evacuations underway in parts of Tampa-St. Petersburg from low-lying areas prone to flooding.

Watch WTSP-TV live at the link.

youtube.com/watch?v=l6IoBQsf4u

@WordsmithFL
Man, oh man. We were in Mexico Beach over this last winter and they were recovering nicely from Hurricane Michael that hit 5 years ago. Now, they will have this to contend with again. It's such a beautiful area of the Gulf. And the residents so resilient. Dang it.

@CherNohio If you have a Facebook account, you should follow Mike's Weather Page. Mike is a gifted amateur who specializes in coverage. He's gold for events such as this.

facebook.com/mikesweatherpage

@WordsmithFL

Good morning. I see that the southern half of Florida is now under a tornado warning. Please be safe.

@fugitive247 I don't think we're going to experience much other than a wind event. Very little rain is in the forecast for the . Sustained winds top out at 30 MPH in the late afternoon.

Sign in to participate in the conversation

CounterSocial is the first Social Network Platform to take a zero-tolerance stance to hostile nations, bot accounts and trolls who are weaponizing OUR social media platforms and freedoms to engage in influence operations against us. And we're here to counter it.