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From : Tropical storm (likely to be named ) projected to form later in the week, aiming for the Florida Panhandle.

mynews13.com/fl/orlando/weathe

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The Merritt Island ten-day forecast from Weather.com. They seem to be a believer in nascent . Thursday shows a 93% chance of thunderstorms with 27 MPH winds, for a storm on the opposite side of the state. But it's early.

Projected track and intensity for nascent . Intensity as high as Category 3 for the Panhandle, meaning a major hurricane.

The latest model for nascent , courtesy of Mike's Weather Page on Facebook. 941 mb in the eye is very bad.

(For the record, I'm on the Atlantic coast near Cape Canaveral.)

Crew-9 is scheduled to launch Thursday at 1:30 PM EDT from Pad 39A, but, with the forecast for the Gulf on Thursday, I won't be surprised if they take down the into the adjacent hangar and the crew shelter at the crew quarters.

blogs.nasa.gov/crew-9/

The latest on nascent ... The forecast continues to worsen, now possibly a Category 4 for the Panhandle.

The final panel is the ten-day forecast for Merritt Island, where I live (as well as ). The winds are now forecast as 29 MPH, higher than last night's 27 MPH.

The four-leaf panel model suggests this will be an event for almost all of Florida, catastrophic for some.

Images from Tropical Tidbits, Mike's Weather Page, and Weather.com.

A catastropic drop in the millibar pressure forecast according to these models. Just in from Mike's Weather Page.

From Tallahassee Democrat: Governor declares state of emergency in 41 of 67 Florida counties ahead of nascent . The storm is forecast for landfall as a Category 3 or higher, still targeting the Big Bend of the peninsula.

tallahassee.com/story/news/hur

The wind gusts forecast for 1 PM EDT on Friday. The is looking at gusts in the 50s MPH. The Big Bend approaches 100 MPH.

evacuations underway in parts of Tampa-St. Petersburg from low-lying areas prone to flooding.

Watch WTSP-TV live at the link.

youtube.com/watch?v=l6IoBQsf4u

@WordsmithFL
Man, oh man. We were in Mexico Beach over this last winter and they were recovering nicely from Hurricane Michael that hit 5 years ago. Now, they will have this to contend with again. It's such a beautiful area of the Gulf. And the residents so resilient. Dang it.

@CherNohio If you have a Facebook account, you should follow Mike's Weather Page. Mike is a gifted amateur who specializes in coverage. He's gold for events such as this.

facebook.com/mikesweatherpage

@WordsmithFL

Good morning. I see that the southern half of Florida is now under a tornado warning. Please be safe.

@fugitive247 I don't think we're going to experience much other than a wind event. Very little rain is in the forecast for the . Sustained winds top out at 30 MPH in the late afternoon.

@DJ95X We should be okay on the Space Coast so long as it remains on its current projected track. I'm mainly worried about the Panhandle.

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