@LnzyHou #Trump only got half the delegates.

Trump 20
DeSantis 9
Haley 8
Ramaswamy 3

That means that half of the people who did turn out wanted someone else. You have to figure that the few people who did turn out were the hard-core voters.

It's not a mandate. Not even close.

@WordsmithFL @LnzyHou This is very reassuring and a stark contrast to the MSM coverage. Thank you!

@elbutterfield @WordsmithFL

Isn’t it just?

@WordsmithFL @LnzyHou I would suggest reading what @driftglass wrote today ass essentially nearly all the votes were for Trump - just in different disguises.

https://driftglass.blogspot.com/2024/01/irrational-numbers.html

@NorthernInvader I read it at your request. I really don't understand the point he's making. Will most of them vote for #Trump in the general? Probably.

But the larger view, which the author ignores, is that only 18% of active registered Republicans bothered to vote. Only 9% voted for Trump, meaning the others are not that strongly committed to him.

Trump on the ballot in the general will help Iowa Dems achieve some upsets down-ticket.

@LnzyHou @driftglass

@WordsmithFL @NorthernInvader @driftglass

I also read it and share your confusion Stephen.

@LnzyHou

Unless Trump's sclerotic arteries intervene, he's going to be the GOP nominee. My point is just that Iowa is insignificant and we shouldn't be giving it much credence as a bellweather for anything.

If something happened to Trump, then the GOP probably would have an open convention to choose a nominee. When we get to the larger states, we'll have a better idea of who might win that. (My guess is Haley.)

@NorthernInvader @driftglass

@WordsmithFL @LnzyHou @driftglass

I gather that what he's saying is that it's pointless to assign percentages as if the party is divided.

@NorthernInvader @WordsmithFL @LnzyHou That's about right.