NHC has marked an area of scattered showers in the central Atlantic with a low 20% tropical development chance next seven days as generally moves near the Northern Caribbean region later next week. Currently low model support for development but nearing that time of year Atlantic reawakens. 26July2024

Typhoon #Gaemi performed a full loop around before finally making landfall into Taiwan earlier. Wobbles and loops on approach to Taiwan have been seen before, likely due to the mountainous terrain in the East. July24
(Radar courtesy Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School)

Tropical Storm #Bud was able to spin up in the Eastern Pacific today. Heading out to sea and not expected to strengthen much before dissipating later in the week.
24July24

The Atlantic looking quiet. Some scattered storms coming off Africa but meeting very dry dusty air (SAL) and not seeing model support for any at this time.

East/Central Pacific with 3 potential areas, but all currently with low development chance per NHC.

22July2024

Atlantic looking quiet for a bit with a large SAL outbreak (more typical of this time of year).
East/Central Pacific has a low chance of brief development far out at sea.
Overall in a quiet period.
13July2024

Remnants of #Beryl moving through the Great Lakes region and up into Canada.

The Atlantic is currently quiet except for an area off the Southeast US coast with a low 10% chance of tropical development that primarily will help bring much needed rains to the coastal region into the weekend.
10July2024

Dallas airspace looking a tad busy with Houston dealing with #Beryl at the moment. 1125aCDT 8July24 #TXwx

Tropical Storm #Beryl passing near Houston as it steadily heads off to the North.
1020aCDT/1120aEDT 8July24

Per WPC (NOAA) 2 to 4 inch per hour rainfall rates could accompany rainbands as they move ashore. #Beryl

7July2024 8pCDT

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php

Storm surge: water level rise above normal tidal levels (with 4 to 7 feet some locations per NHC). Tree & power outages (winds of just 40mph will cause problems. The wear and tear adds up, especially in more wet soils).
545pCDT/645pEDT 7July2024

And periodic reminder - I'm just a random person on the inter-webs who likes hurricanes and posting about them. Not a trained professional.

Air recon data finds pressure dropping in #Beryl. Visible & water vapor satellite imagery shows newer storms near center helping build core & mix out dry air. Storm likely entering it's forecast strengthening phase.

Regardless of final intensity, multiple hazards are coming. Several inches of rain, most with the onshore flow East of storm center. Tornadoes, again mostly on the Eastern side (typically short lived, moving in the direction of the rain band embedded in).

#Beryl rain band near the coast.
815aCDT 7July24

#Beryl emerged into the Gulf of Mexico with wind shear and dry air essentially removing the Southern side of the storm. Now a convective burst trying to recover, setting the stage for a potentially strengthening storm for Sunday. 11aCDT 6July2024

New Hurricane & Storm Surge Watch up for #Beryl.
About to emerge off the Yucatan into the Gulf of Mexico.
5July2024 4pCDT/5pEDT #TXwx

Hurricane #Beryl made landfall early Friday as a Cat2 North of Tulum. Now weakening over the Yucatan (separated from its warm water energy source).

Track has shifted more North with likely Texas landfall & more time over warm waters to restrengthen. 11aEDT/10aCDT 5July2024

Tropical Storm #Aletta briefly formed in the Eastern Pacific Southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Now near Socorro Island and weakening down to a Tropical Depression. Not expected to last past the weekend as stays out to sea.
5July2024

Hurricane #Beryl regains Cat3 status.
115mph(185km/h)
930pEDT/830pEST 4July2024

Hurricane #Beryl NHC 5-day cone map from start til 8pEDT 3July2024

Hurricane #Beryl now pulling away from Jamaica where stormy conditions will persist. Cayman Islands up next. Not looking as healthy on most recent satellite. Air recon still finding strong winds.
7pEST/8pEDT Wednesday 3July2024

Hurricane #Beryl eyewall with the core winds just clipping the Southern coast of Jamaica per radar. 420EST/520pEDT 3July2024

Cuban radar: http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp