@SaltyVeruca @LiberalLibrarian
Considering that the entire political spectrum ranging from Taylor Swift to Dick Cheney have formally announced support for her, I'd say Harris has an excellent chance of making this a landslide.
We've still got to put in the work if we can and vote as if this weren't true in order for it to happen.
@Tarnagh @LiberalLibrarian Well absolutely.
@LiberalLibrarian I'm calling it. The author is a gambler. I saw some "sure thing" type language and how this guy seemed to be praising a genius type who has a magic flawless system, and THEN I saw the system is based on actual wagers and gambling. I think it's interesting the author put stress on "wagering their own dollars", whose money does he usually gamble with? Oh, wait. Right. Definitely a finance columnist.
@tippitiwichet Yeah, color me suspicious.
@tippitiwichet That being said, the "vibe" is definitely trending towards not a close result. We'll see. Maybe he's right and we'll be eating crow. I'd happily chow down if so.
@LiberalLibrarian Pretty solid methodology going with prediction surveys instead of polls (that skew D) or prediction markets (that skew R)
@LiberalLibrarian Also pretty consistent with Good Judgment’s question. 39% likely he wins, 61% likely he doesn’t.
@mikeharmanos hmmm. interesting. This is good to know. I'm very leery of things like that.
@LiberalLibrarian As well you should! It is social science, after all. Take it from a practicing social scientist - at best, people like me are similar to the parable of the blind men describing an elephant.
@LiberalLibrarian I'm emotionally betting on it. I have to in order to make it.