Like Ann Selzer, John Ralston is another one of these hugely respected people who focus on just ONE state (Nevada) and have an almost flawless prediction record.
He was having a hard time with his early analysis due to the turn out of repubs and it was not looking good for Harris and was giving Dems heart attacks, but the numbers have become more stable and he's calling it for Harris with 48.5 percent and Trump 48.2 percent.
Whatever VOTE
His entire article is here:
https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/editor-jon-ralstons-2024-nevada-election-predictions
@TheAbbotTrithemius Amen. VOTE!! and VOTE BLUE!! I think that what a lot of pollsters is missing is.. one. first time young voters.. two. women voters of both parties.. three. Haley voters not voting for the lewdloudlyingloser. We shall see the results.. soon.