I know everyone says the polls are unreliable, but hot damn, the polls are as scary AF. 😮
last Wednesday, the Rs turned a switch on and dumped a lot of polls into the national polling averages. We saw polls form Emerson, Fox News, Quantas, RMG, and the right-wing firm TIPP's launched a daily tracker, adding 4 more polls. Senate Republicans even joined the party, dropping a favorable national poll, as did ActiVote and Atlas whatever the f—k they are. 1/2
@evamarie 538 moved from 2.6 Harris on Wednesday to 1.8 Harris this morning, and many polling averages and forecasters tipped to Trump over the weekend.
This movement, and the tipping to Trump, are, in my view, manufactured and should not be treated as authentic movement in the race. Welcome to red wave 2024.
Simon Rosenberg, about 5 minutes ago.
https://open.substack.com/pub/simonwdc/p/new-wapo-polls-show-harris-leading
@tyghebright @evamarie All generally true.
@mikeharmanos
Yes. They've figured out how to manipulate the impact of their polls. And many of the polls that are included in aggregators who want to capture everything are *terrible* hacky partisan operations. They literally only exist to manipulate this data, and don't hold up to any kind of examination.
@evamarie