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This morning's models still show Beryl heading for the general vicinity of in Boca Chica.

If you have FB access, Mike's Weather Page posted this model of projected maximum wave heights. Starbase is at the Gulf tip of Texas on the Mexico border. The roads flood all the time. What will storm surge of 30-35 feet do to Starbase? We may find out on Monday.

fb.watch/t6oTdVFx4U/

The consensus still has it aiming for Starbase in Boca Chica, but five days to go. The intensity is inconsistent, anywhere from spent to a Category 3.

These models suggest that in Boca Chica TX is now in play. This is a week out, so if, when, and how powerful are still a few days away.

This could have short-term consequences for .

Images are from Mike's Weather Page on Facebook.

Having seen this a few times myself, you have no idea how fast those boosters are coming in to land. They break so fast.

This was filmed by someone at Playalinda Beach to the north, beyond 39A and 39B. He must have a very long-range lens.

youtube.com/watch?v=1AXnMlxK22

We have a sunrise launch at 7:14 AM EDT. plans to launch a mission from LC-40. Watch on Spaceflight Now starting at 6:14 AM EDT.

youtube.com/watch?v=_zzKS29RV3

selected to develop and build an deorbit vehicle, circa 2030.

Comment ... There's no guarantee the ISS partnership will deorbit the station in 2030. They could always decide to extend. But the consensus is it's time to move on, with Project Artemis targeting the moon and private companies developing commercial habitats. Deorbiting ISS creates a market for the habitat companies.

nasa.gov/news-release/nasa-sel

For those of you with Facebook access, my amateur smartphone video of this afternoon's launch of the weather satellite. Be sure to wait for the double sonic booms at the end.

facebook.com/100000747763996/v

is now targeting 5:26 PM EDT / 2:26 PM PDT for the launch and landing from Pad 39A. The payload is a hurricane satellite. Watch live now on the NASA TV YouTube channel. Must see TV!

youtube.com/watch?v=21X5lGlDOf

is targeting 5:16 PM EDT for the launch of the GOES-U satellite from Pad 39A.

Because it's a NASA payload, the NASA YouTube channel will carry the launch, starting at 4:15 PM EDT. You'll want to watch; a Falcon Heavy launch and landing is must-see TV!

Right now, the weather forecast is only 30% favorable, but it's a two-hour launch window.

youtube.com/watch?v=21X5lGlDOf

is targeting 1:15 PM EDT / 10:15 AM PDT for a launch from Launch Complex 40. Watch live on the Spaceflight Now YouTube channel.

youtube.com/watch?v=Uk_WDWzNfY

A pair of F-22 military jet fighters try to race a just after launch from Cape Canaveral. A rare view of KSC and the Cape from the air.

(You can see my house as a pixel if you know where to look. ๐Ÿ˜‰ )

youtube.com/watch?v=OYZTWi-R18

The web site now lists no launch date or time for this mission. TBD, I guess.

called an abort at T-0, don't know why. The engines did ignite, then shut down. The window goes until 8:19 PM EDT if they can solve their problem.

is targeting 4:49 PM EDT for a launch from Launch Complex 40. They must feel confident about the weather forecast; it's been rainy off and on the last couple days.

Watch live on Spaceflight Now.

youtube.com/watch?v=utoznZZgs_

From :

*****

... [T]he Defense Department plans to add more than 100 of SpaceXโ€™s satellites to its future satcom architecture.

Starshield is a militarized version of SpaceXโ€™s Starlink internet satellites, with enhanced encryption and other security features. And unlike Starlink, which is a commercial service, the Starshield satellites would be owned and controlled by the U.S. government.

spacenews.com/pentagon-embraci

"... SpaceX, dominant though it may be today, would benefit from some real competition. But space is hard, as veterans of the field like to say, and the legacy aerospace companies, like Boeing, that dominated the Apollo, space shuttle, and ISS era of spaceflight will need deep cultural shifts to compete in the new era of entrepreneurial discovery."

city-journal.org/article/can-b

EDIT ... Now targeting 9:56 PM EDT.

*****

We have a popup launch from Launch Complex 40 targeting 9:02 PM EDT.

spacex.com/launches/mission/

From "Everyday Astronaut" Tim Dodd on Zombie Twitter ... Tim gets more-or-less exclusive interviews with Elon before Starship test launches. (Tim is apolitical and an acquaintance, so no shots please.)

We learn two things from this video:

(1) Elon knew before today's test flight that the flap hinge was a vulnerability, and

(2) Elon has put on a *lot* of weight. Maybe he's stress-eating.

x.com/Erdayastronaut/status/17

For those who missed it, here's the complete video of today's launch and landing, posted on my YouTube channel (since Elon restricts live video now to Zombie Twitter).

youtube.com/watch?v=B0QhQovVEP

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Stephen Smith ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ

CounterSocial is the first Social Network Platform to take a zero-tolerance stance to hostile nations, bot accounts and trolls who are weaponizing OUR social media platforms and freedoms to engage in influence operations against us. And we're here to counter it.