Tropical Depression Three-E expected to gain named Tropical Storm and eventually Hurricane status as heads out to sea in the Eastern Pacific. 11pEDT 11July2023 #TD3e

NHC with 40% chance sub-tropical or tropical development in the North central Atlantic this week. Water temperatures there are mid to upper 20’s °C (77-85°F) & is conductive for Tropical development. Water temperature is above average across the Atlantic basin. 10July2023

Things slowing starting to stir in the Atlantic. Area well out at sea between Bermuda & Azores 30% chance sub-tropical development this week. Also watching vigorous tropical wave between Africa & Caribbean but moving along edge of intense dry/dusty SAL air plume.

The Eastern Pacific 'wave train' still rolling but overall appears to keep any potential developing storms off the coast of Mexico as they generally move off to the West-Northwest. 2pEDT 9July23

The Atlantic remains quiet next seven days while the Eastern Pacific looks to continue producing storms just South of Mexico. Fortunately these appear to all move out to sea. 7aEDT 7July23 #93e

SAL (Saharan Air Layer - dust & dry air (orange/red color in image) from the North African Sahara desert) typically peaks about this time of year, fading in August. Tropical development is hindered by this air mass. Sometimes storms can find small pockets of clear air to hide in while traverse the Atlantic. 5July2023

The Atlantic slumbers with not much in the models until mid/late July.
East Pacific may continue to be active South of Mexico but overall favors out to sea.
4July2023

Tropical Storm #Beatriz has really unraveled today. No more advisories will be issued as the system has lost its surface circulation. Left over scattered rains and winds 25-30mph (40-50km/h) remain. 1July2023

Reminder that with tropical Watch and Warning out for regions of Mexico NHC (US National Hurricane Center) issues storm updates every three hours at 3, 6, 9, 12am/pm CST (2,5,8,11a/pEDT) here: https://nhc.noaa.gov (Scroll down below the main map picture to see storm information. 29Jun2023 #TD2e

We now have #PTC2e (Potential Tropical Cyclone Two-E) about 315miles (505km) Southeast of Acapulco, Mexico. Tropical Storm Watch/Warning for portions of the coast (Additional Hurricane Watch likely coming Thursday). Storm to ride parallel to the coast, potentially into. 28Jun2023

Tropical Storm #Adrian forms Tuesday South of Mexico in the Eastern Pacific. 27June2023

There are three areas being monitored by NHC for possible tropical trouble next several days:
Atlantic: Cindy remnants with slight chance redevelops between Bermuda & East Canada.
East Pacific: Two areas along South Mexico moving near or parallel with the coast.
8aEDT 26Jun2023

Tropical Storm #Cindy starting its turn away well Northeast of the Caribbean. The system is facing wind shear and soon dry air (harmful to tropical systems) and may not survive the next few days. Some model guidance bring it back between Bermuda & Nova Scotia though. 11pEDT 24Jun

Tropical Storm #Bret is no more. Just swirls of clouds and scattered showers in the Caribbean. No more advisories will be issued. 24June2023

TS #Bret & now #Cindy in the Atlantic. Cindy looks to make its closest pass near the Northeast Caribbean Sunday/Monday. Bret moving through the Lesser Antilles this evening. 11pEDT/AST 22June2023

Newly designated #TD4 (Tropical Depression Four). NHC has the system steadily strengthening into the weekend before wind shear begins to weaken near the Northeast Caribbean early next week. 5aEDT/AST 22Jun2023

With a slight pressure drop & increase in winds to 70mph(110km/h) overnight a Hurricane Watch has been issued for St. Lucia as Tropical Storm #Bret becomes slightly stronger. Impacts are still the same regardless. System still expected to fall apart later this weekend.
Since that last air recon flight overnight, cloud tops have warmed on infrared satellite indicating storms have likely decreased some, but still a potent Tropical Storm.
8aEDT/AST 22Jun2023

Tropical Storm #Bret 11pEDT 19June2023 summary:
-40mph(65km/h)
-Moving West 18mph(30km/h)
-No Watch/Warnings yet(time based, so coming Tuesday)
-Likely strengthens through Thursday
-Then dry air & wind shear could start weakening trend
-Track/wind uncertainty higher then usual.

#TD3 11aEDT 19June2023 basic summary:
-Has 3+ days to strengthen
-Then wind shear may start to affect/weaken
-Stronger storm more likely to turn NW/N near islands
-TS/Cat1 more likely heads into Caribbean
-Track/intensity HIGHLY subject to change late week in this particular case

NHC with 80% chance of #92L development next 2 days, 90% next 7 days as of 8aEDT 18June2023

The group of scattered showers with a broad spin is still on the other side of the Atlantic, plenty of time to monitor. Another tropical wave behind 92L just entering the Atlantic as well.

The tropical wave just off Africa has seen much more model consensus on development and more favorable conditions ahead throughout the day. Thus NHC has tagged invest 92L with high 70% development chance. 8pEDT 16June2023