Cat4 #Beryl
2pEDT/AST 30Jun2024
Winds: 130mph(215km/h)
Hurricane(74mph+/119km/h+) force winds extend up to 30miles(45km) from center.
Tropical Storm(39-73mph/63-118km/h) force winds extend up to 115miles(185km) from center.
Winds arrive tonight. Finish all prep.
Reminder #96L may arrive 2 days later into region (Wednesday).

96L out in the Atlantic following about two days behind #Beryl. NHC with 70% chance tropical designation as also heads towards the Windward Islands this week. 2pEDT/AST 30Jun2024

#94L in Bay of Campeche on the verge of being classified just before moving inland to Mexico in a few hours. Regardless of any tropical designation, the main story is more scattered rains across the region (one picture with rainfall map is Euro model rain(mm) Sun-Mon). 30Jun2024

‪11a update has hurricane winds extending up to 30miles(45km) from storm center. ‬

Some #Beryl notes
~NHC updates storm stats/map every 3 hours 2,5,8&11a/pEDT/AST at www.hurricanes.gov
~Strong hurricanes wobble. Slight wobbles will make all the difference on who sees what.
~Hurricane winds only extend out 15miles(30km) from center(can change) 30Jun24 8aAST

Sunday morning 30June2024 - #Beryl now Cat3

~Invest #94L moving off the Yucatan and into Bay of Campeche bringing scattered showers to the region. NHC with 50% chance can earn Tropical Depression status before moving into Mexico by Monday.
~Another area South of Mexico with low 30% chance.
29Jun2024 8pEDT/6pCST

NOAA and USAF Hurricane Hunters setting up in Caribbean to monitor #Beryl. At least 2 NOAA aircraft and 3 USAF. Will start air recon missions starting Sunday. First flight scheduled to depart 445aEDT/AST. In storm data collection can increase hurricane forecast accuracy by as much as 20% (per USAF 403rd Wing). 29Jun2024

11aEDT/AST Sat 29Jun2024:
TS #Beryl winds 65mph(100km/h)
Continues to strengthen
NHC has Cat3 115mph(185km/h) into Windward Islands early Monday
High waves
Surge 5-7ft(1.5-2.1m) onshore wind direction
3-6+in(75-150+mm) rain
Wind shear starts to weaken once in central Caribbean Sea

Tropical Storm #Beryl in the Atlantic
28Jun2024

Area near Cabo Verde Islands off NW Africa now 40% chance tropical designation per NHC. May develop next week as generally follows #TD2.
28Jun2024 8pEDT

invest #94L with numerous scattered storms as the sun sets Friday evening. Will cross the Yucatan peninsula Saturday. NHC with 40% chance tropical designation when enters Bay of Campeche Sunday. Main impact is currently heavy scattered rain chances into the region.
28Jun2024 8pEDT/6pCST

NHC currently forecasting a strengthening Hurricane reaching the Windward Islands Monday. Will likely see Hurricane / Tropical Storm Watch go up this evening or early Saturday for future wind impacts that region. Heavy rains & large waves will also accompany the system.
28Jun2024 #TD2 #95L

NHC will begin advisories on Tropical Depression Two #TD2 at 5pEDT/AST 28Jun2024 about 1350miles(2175km) East of the Windward Islands.

Likely misaligned / elongated center keeping #95L from designation currently (notice puffy clouds on top slightly different spin then thinner lower level clouds). Steadily coming together though. Should have depression or named storm soon. Watches for portions of Windward islands may be issued tonight or Saturday. 145pEDT/AST 28Jun2024

Sunrise over invest #95L Friday 28Jun2024
Located about 1500miles(2414km) ESE of Windward Islands.
Moving West about 15-20mph(24-32km/h)
Continues to improve it's structure.

FYI: One of the larger weather site/app issued their own 7-day #95L cone map. There is no official NHC cone map. While could lead to better products, it creates public confusion, may be different from official NHC, etc. Likely see more do their own thing as tech/graphics advance.

#94L & #95L Thursday satellite view.
(Infrared: colors represent colder cloud tops and likely storms underneath)
NHC with 30% tropical development chance 94L, high 90% on 95L as of 8pEDT 27Jun2024

If you’re ever looking for more storm information (including the why and why not of a storms current and potential future performance, location, etc.) I always highly recommend discussion videos from Tropical Tidbits: https://youtu.be/Ph7w9cTYEb8
#95L #94L
27Jun2024

#94L & #95L with 30% & 70% tropical development chance respectfully from NHC.
~94L either side of Yucatan this weekend.
~95L near Windward Islands early next week.
Still far from US on 4July (holiday).
Reminder: Check dates on invest # as numbers repeat 90 through 99.
27Jun2024