Hurricane #Otis unexpectedly rapidly intensifies Tuesday afternoon into Cat4 145mph(230km/h) winds about 85miles(135km) SSE of Acapulco Mexico in East Pacific. Hurricane winds extend up to 30miles(45km) from center. Landfall expected early Wednesday along Mexico coast. 24Oct2023
#TD21 formed earlier this week in the Southwest Caribbean, moving into the North-Central Nicaragua coast Tuesday. The resulting scattered showers may eventually form a new system along the Southern Mexico coast in the Eastern Pacific later this week/weekend. 24Oct2023
Hurricane #Tammy continues NE in Atlantic. Intensity expected to peak within 24 hours then steady weakening. Transitions into non-tropical low. Low may turn back West. Models split on eventual track. Many models turn out to sea eventually, a few continue W/SW though. 24Oct2023
With Watches posted for Hurricane #Norma in the Eastern Pacific & Tropical Storm #Tammy in Atlantic, NHC updates storm stats & maps every three hours: https://hurricanes.gov (US gov), just below the main map image at:
EDT/AST/MST: 2,5,8,11am/pm
CST/MDT: 3,6,9,12am/pm
Tropical Storm #Tammy about 430miles(690km) East of Barbados. NOAA/USAF Hurricane Hunter planes arriving in Caribbean this evening for Thursday flights in storm. Expected to clip NE Caribbean Friday/Saturday as turns up between High pressure & approaching cold front. 18Oct2023
Uncertainty in eventual track & strength of invest #94L. May warrant PTC designation sometime Wednesday so that Tropical Storm Watches can be issued(poss impacts by Fri) PTC allows for typical NHC products to be issued (Watches, cone map, etc.) prior to storm formation. 17Oct2023
Invest #94L healthy Saturday morning. Large, will take time to spin up. Leeward Islands / Puerto Rico area should monitor as may near region late this week / next weekend where conditions look favorable for strengthening. Eventually turns North, models differ on when. 14Oct2023
Tropical Storm #Sean was finally able to develop convection over its core overnight, but as the sun rises those storms are fading. Has reached dry air. Will be lucky to make it past Sunday. 14Oct2023
Watching for possible tropical trouble along the Southern Mexico coast in the coming week as 1 or 2 systems may try to develop and meander near the coast. 14Oct2023 (Euro precipitable water model animation from https://weathermodels.com )
35mph(55km/h) Tropical Depression #Sean struggling Thursday morning at sunrise as wind shear pushes storms off it's LLC (Low Level Center). Unhealthy weak system. 12Oct2023
40mph(65km/h) Tropical Storm #Sean forms this morning in Atlantic. High wind shear, dry air nearby. NHC has dissipating this weekend / early next week currently. Area behind it just moving off Africa moves West. NHC with 30% chance of tropical development next 7 days. 11Oct2023
Hurricane #Lidia has rapidly weakened over the high terrain of Southwest Mexico and now dissipated. Moisture from it's remnants are streaming up into South Texas and the Gulf of Mexico. Additional moisture being pulled up along the SW Mexico coast into central Mexico. 11Oct2023
#Lidia took full advantage of a small window to strengthen today, going from Tropical Storm overnight to Cat4 this afternoon. Has now made landfall about 35miles (55km) SSW of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico. Hurricane winds extend up to 30miles(45km) from center. 10-Oct-2023
NHC will no longer be issuing advisories on Tropical Storm #Philippe. System has been absorbed / become another weather system. Impacts still coming to Northeast US / Eastern Canada this weekend - see respective local & national weather services for details (US: NWS/WPC). 6Oct23
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