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emerged into the Gulf of Mexico with wind shear and dry air essentially removing the Southern side of the storm. Now a convective burst trying to recover, setting the stage for a potentially strengthening storm for Sunday. 11aCDT 6July2024

Hurricane made landfall early Friday as a Cat2 North of Tulum. Now weakening over the Yucatan (separated from its warm water energy source).

Track has shifted more North with likely Texas landfall & more time over warm waters to restrengthen. 11aEDT/10aCDT 5July2024

Tropical Storm briefly formed in the Eastern Pacific Southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Now near Socorro Island and weakening down to a Tropical Depression. Not expected to last past the weekend as stays out to sea.
5July2024

Hurricane regains Cat3 status.
115mph(185km/h)
930pEDT/830pEST 4July2024

Hurricane now pulling away from Jamaica where stormy conditions will persist. Cayman Islands up next. Not looking as healthy on most recent satellite. Air recon still finding strong winds.
7pEST/8pEDT Wednesday 3July2024

Hurricane eyewall with the core winds just clipping the Southern coast of Jamaica per radar. 420EST/520pEDT 3July2024

Cuban radar: insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp

Scattered rains and breezy conditions from invest will hamper recovery and aid efforts across the Windward Islands.
Radar 935a-1135aEDT/AST 3July2024

jogged a little West overnight, but resumed WNW movement again. Eye has become more obscured on satellite as continues to fight wind shear. Still a strong storm. Wednesday morning air recon arrives soon to see what looks like inside. Heavy rains Hispaniola.
3July2024 4aEST/5aEDT

Hurricane taking aim at Jamaica Wednesday.
Wind shear continues to slowly degrade storm, but it remains a powerful hurricane.
2July2024 7pEST/8pEDT

invest appears to have thrown in the towel after seeing what could do. NHC lowers tropical development chance down to 20%. Still may bring scattered showers and gusty conditions to the islands this week. 2July2024

Sunrise over Hurricane .
Wind shear visible Northwest of system (notice clouds move different directions Eastern Dominican Republic and South of Hispaniola). Storms don't like wind shear, but strong storms can fight it off a little longer then others. Strong storm and far reaching impacts still.
2July2024

Hurricane pulling away from the Windward Islands and into the Caribbean Sea Monday evening. 1July2024

Worst of Hurricane coming into Carriacou, Northern Grenada, and islands South of St. Vincent now. 1040aEDT/AST 1July2024

Core of Hurricane has missed Barbados and Tobago. Worst of storm approaching near Grenada and islands South of St. Vincent
915aEDT/AST 1July24
barbadosweather.org/Radars/Lea

Hurricane 's dangerous eyewall region (strongest winds location) passing between Barbados and Tobago(uncomfortably close). Heading towards Grenada and portions of the Grenadines with full force of winds and storm surge. 7aEDT/AST 1July2024

Radar captures eye wall replacement cycle (ERC). Notice small eye bounces around larger ring & disappears. This changing of batteries (if you will) typically weakens storm temporarily but then can resume strengthening when complete. Wind field reach from center also expands.
220aAST 1July24

@Christmas_Snow I’ve seen some reports about large number of boats moving off Grenada and the Grenadines region to safer waters earlier.

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