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Hurricane 1130pEDT/AST radar from Barbados (radar looks up at an angle so that slice can appear odd looking. Is normal). Highest winds are right around that eye.
barbadosweather.org/Radars/Lea
Sunday 30Jun2024

(former ) becomes Tropical Storm in Bay of Campeche. Moves inland tonight. Rain maker. Winds 40mph(65km/h). 11pEDT/9pCST 30Jun2024

invest organizes enough to become Tropical Depression Three in Bay of Campeche. Winds 35mph(55km/h). If increases winds just 5mph(8km/h) then will be classified as a named Tropical Storm but no change in impacts if you see that. Rain maker. Moves inland tonight either way.
30Jun2024 4pCST

Sunset over Hurricane
May just thread between Barbados & Tobago hopefully keeping hurricane force winds offshore.
Unfortunately the islands just West of there may take full force of wind/surge.
Hurricane Watch likely coming for Jamaica on Monday.
Could reach the Yucatan to end the week.
30Jun2024 5pEDT/AST

Note: slight wobbles will make all the difference on who sees what. Even just a few miles can make a massive difference in wind speeds received.

Cat4
2pEDT/AST 30Jun2024
Winds: 130mph(215km/h)
Hurricane(74mph+/119km/h+) force winds extend up to 30miles(45km) from center.
Tropical Storm(39-73mph/63-118km/h) force winds extend up to 115miles(185km) from center.
Winds arrive tonight. Finish all prep.
Reminder may arrive 2 days later into region (Wednesday).

96L out in the Atlantic following about two days behind . NHC with 70% chance tropical designation as also heads towards the Windward Islands this week. 2pEDT/AST 30Jun2024

in Bay of Campeche on the verge of being classified just before moving inland to Mexico in a few hours. Regardless of any tropical designation, the main story is more scattered rains across the region (one picture with rainfall map is Euro model rain(mm) Sun-Mon). 30Jun2024

‪11a update has hurricane winds extending up to 30miles(45km) from storm center. ‬

Some notes
~NHC updates storm stats/map every 3 hours 2,5,8&11a/pEDT/AST at www.hurricanes.gov
~Strong hurricanes wobble. Slight wobbles will make all the difference on who sees what.
~Hurricane winds only extend out 15miles(30km) from center(can change) 30Jun24 8aAST

~Invest moving off the Yucatan and into Bay of Campeche bringing scattered showers to the region. NHC with 50% chance can earn Tropical Depression status before moving into Mexico by Monday.
~Another area South of Mexico with low 30% chance.
29Jun2024 8pEDT/6pCST

NOAA and USAF Hurricane Hunters setting up in Caribbean to monitor . At least 2 NOAA aircraft and 3 USAF. Will start air recon missions starting Sunday. First flight scheduled to depart 445aEDT/AST. In storm data collection can increase hurricane forecast accuracy by as much as 20% (per USAF 403rd Wing). 29Jun2024

11aEDT/AST Sat 29Jun2024:
TS winds 65mph(100km/h)
Continues to strengthen
NHC has Cat3 115mph(185km/h) into Windward Islands early Monday
High waves
Surge 5-7ft(1.5-2.1m) onshore wind direction
3-6+in(75-150+mm) rain
Wind shear starts to weaken once in central Caribbean Sea

Area near Cabo Verde Islands off NW Africa now 40% chance tropical designation per NHC. May develop next week as generally follows .
28Jun2024 8pEDT

invest with numerous scattered storms as the sun sets Friday evening. Will cross the Yucatan peninsula Saturday. NHC with 40% chance tropical designation when enters Bay of Campeche Sunday. Main impact is currently heavy scattered rain chances into the region.
28Jun2024 8pEDT/6pCST

NHC currently forecasting a strengthening Hurricane reaching the Windward Islands Monday. Will likely see Hurricane / Tropical Storm Watch go up this evening or early Saturday for future wind impacts that region. Heavy rains & large waves will also accompany the system.
28Jun2024

NHC will begin advisories on Tropical Depression Two at 5pEDT/AST 28Jun2024 about 1350miles(2175km) East of the Windward Islands.

Likely misaligned / elongated center keeping from designation currently (notice puffy clouds on top slightly different spin then thinner lower level clouds). Steadily coming together though. Should have depression or named storm soon. Watches for portions of Windward islands may be issued tonight or Saturday. 145pEDT/AST 28Jun2024

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