Atlantic trying to look like September out there!

But looking under the hood we find hostile environment (SAL, wind shear) for these wanna be tropical cyclones.

Still expect some action though.
19Aug2023
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Las Vegas radar is back in service after temporary repairs made Saturday afternoon! 19Aug2023

The remnants of #Fernanda will be passing near Hawaii Sunday - Tuesday. Likely to bring slight increase of trade winds, seas 6-7ft, and scattered showers (mainly Monday, better chances further South). 19Aug2023

Dry air(yellow/orange on left) appears to have reached core of Hurricane #Hilary. Clearly hurting structure. This, cool water, wind shear & land will continue to weaken(as NHC expected)
Note: This does NOT change rain impact. Hurricane is caught in funnel of moisture moving North

Hurricane #Hilary now 115mph(185km/h) Cat3. Continues to weaken as approaches Baja peninsula. Southern tip of Baja experiencing sustained winds along coast up to 40mph(64km/h), gust near 60mph(96km/h).
19Aug2023 11aPDT/2pEDT

LasVegas weather radar offline after lightning strike. Some coverage from other radars but will leave some gaps(these feed your apps too). Airport radar TLAS only provides short range.

These ‘little things’ here/there add up over time in large scale weather events. 19Aug #Hilary

Moisture streaming up across Mexico and the Western US ahead of Hurricane Hilary Friday evening. 18Aug2023

USAF Hurricane Hunters @53rdWRS now over Mexico on their way to fly into the eye of Cat4 Hurricane #Hilary! In storm air reconnaissance flights give details that satellites alone can not & can improve forecasts by as much as 20%.
See data live https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/
18Aug 8aPDT

Cannot stress enough the amount of rain from Hurricane #Hilary Northwest Mexico & Southwest US, especially over desert areas, & potential flooding this will cause. 18Aug2023 4aPDT (totals may continue to adjust/shift locations)
#TurnAroundDontDrown
Dese la vuelta...no se ahogue!

A few areas to watch in the Atlantic for tropical mischief this weekend into early next week.

Moisture in Gulf quickly moving Westward. Area in Eastern Caribbean as well as open waters of the Atlantic (which will be fighting dry dusty air (SAL)). 18Aug2023 7aEDT

Hope you enjoyed the quiet! Atlantic waking up.
17Aug2023

Hurricane Hilary core winds over open water just Southwest of Mexico Thursday evening. Tropical Storm Warning & Tropical Storm & Hurricane Watch for parts of the Baja Peninsula for upcoming winds. Will weaken some before Baja, but heavy rains and flooding to come! 17Aug2023 8pPDT

Tropical Storm #Greg is no longer a tropical system as it passes well South of Hawaii and further out to sea. Just another Low now. 17Aug2023

Hurricane #Hilary now Cat1 with 75mph(120km/h) winds. Center about 320miles(515km) SW of Manzanillo, Mexico.

Tropical Storm Watch for South tip of Baja Peninsula. With Watches issued, NHC now updates storm stats every 3 hours at 2,5,8&11am,pmPDT/EDT.
#CAwx #AZwx
5aPDT/8aEDT 17Aug2023

Road not closed so its okay?
"Turn around don't drown!"
In large scale flood events authorities don't have the resources to monitor and close every single road that's flooded! Use common sense. If flooded just turn around. And don't drive around barricades in place.
15/16 #Hilary

"Turn Around, Don't Drown"
Did you know?
The majority of flood related deaths in the US are people in their cars??
If you can't see the road then you don't know it's still there, how deep, how fast, etc. And your cars computers are typically mounted low = easy to stall/fry them $

What are Key Messages?
There's a lot of storm information text, graphics and data. Key Messages graphics provide a brief summary of important information about a specific tropical system. This may include safety and storm hazard information, future track guidance, confidence, etc

Wait...why is Warning bad in weather but good when shiny blue lights are behind you while driving??

Yes, it's the opposite...

In Weather 'Watch' means ingredients in place to happen, but 'Warning' means it is occurring or imminent and to take action.
12/x #Hilary

Storm Surge Watch/Warning, when issued?
They are a time based issued alert for Storm Surge (Ocean rises, like it's own tide level) of 3ft or more

SS Watch: Surge possible within 48 hours or less.
SS Warning: Surge expected within 36 hours or less.
(does not include wave heights)

What's Hurricane Watch/Warning, when issued?
They are a time based issued alert for Hurricane winds of 74mph or greater.

Hurricane Watch: Winds possible within 48 hours or less.
Hurricane Warning: Winds expected within 36 hours or less.
#Hilary
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