@matuzalem RMG Research is a legitimate polling outfit, but I'd want to see more before treating this seriously.
@ExecutiveFunction404 @matuzalem
RMG is included in 538. They showed Harris ahead of Trump in an August 26-28 poll of likely voters.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/
Scott Rasmussen left Rasmussen Reports in 2013, over a decade ago, and has nothing to do with the current management. Under Rasmussen, they were generally considered a good polling outfit.
@ExecutiveFunction404 @matuzalem And in 2004, "Rasmussen and SurveyUSA beat most of their human competitors in the battleground states, often by large margins."
https://slate.com/technology/2004/12/who-nailed-the-election-results.html
But the issue is RMG, which has a B rating from 538. That's a respectable rating, and not just in "right wing circles."
I'd like to see their results confirmed, but I don't dismiss it out of hand, either.
@Coctaanatis @matuzalem
Yes, I included a ss of that poll above, as well as mentioned it in my comment ๐
And Rasmussen was doing bad well before 2013 (one poll was off by 40 points in 2010), they're only considered "good" in right wing circles:
https://archive.nytimes.com/fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/04/rasmussen-polls-were-biased-and-inaccurate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/