@matuzalem RMG Research is a legitimate polling outfit, but I'd want to see more before treating this seriously.
@ExecutiveFunction404 @Coctaanatis @matuzalem it is looking good for VP Harris .
@Jorro @Coctaanatis @matuzalem
Yes, it is. But I'm honestly surprised how close it still is. Though the debate gave her a nice little bump.
In the end, these are the only states which truly matter though. And most are within the margin of error.
@ExecutiveFunction404 @Coctaanatis @matuzalem I feel ( this us just how I feel, without any evidence obviously) that VP Harris will defeat the orange buffoon in a humiliating way .
@ExecutiveFunction404 @Jorro @Coctaanatis that would lift a 100 ton weight from my shoulders.
@matuzalem @Jorro @Coctaanatis
I'm also hoping that's the case, but I'm trying not to get ahead of myself either
Politics is bad for the heart 😂
@ExecutiveFunction404 @Coctaanatis fake polls will be fake. Biased means they are liars, just like our boy who “doesn’t know” the shooters were both republicans.
@ExecutiveFunction404 @matuzalem
RMG is included in 538. They showed Harris ahead of Trump in an August 26-28 poll of likely voters.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/
Scott Rasmussen left Rasmussen Reports in 2013, over a decade ago, and has nothing to do with the current management. Under Rasmussen, they were generally considered a good polling outfit.
Yes, I included a ss of that poll above, as well as mentioned it in my comment 😊
And Rasmussen was doing bad well before 2013 (one poll was off by 40 points in 2010), they're only considered "good" in right wing circles:
https://archive.nytimes.com/fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/04/rasmussen-polls-were-biased-and-inaccurate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/
@ExecutiveFunction404 @matuzalem And in 2004, "Rasmussen and SurveyUSA beat most of their human competitors in the battleground states, often by large margins."
https://slate.com/technology/2004/12/who-nailed-the-election-results.html
But the issue is RMG, which has a B rating from 538. That's a respectable rating, and not just in "right wing circles."
I'd like to see their results confirmed, but I don't dismiss it out of hand, either.
@Coctaanatis @matuzalem
RMG is right biased, as it's run by the same guy who runs Rasmussen reports (which was dropped from 538 for being super biased). Considering RMG is hovering around the same poll score as Rasmussen was, idk if they'll be included next cycle.
Napolitan Institute/RMG was one of the lone polls that had trump leading in August (with the other two being fox news & the daily mail).
Poll ratings & August polls 👇