Mmwahahahaha

Look at the price of the REP24_WTA contract following that debate. That's 26 cents on the dollar.

iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/iem_marke

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@TrueBloodNet The REP24_WTA contract is worth $1 if Trump wins the popular vote, $0 otherwise.

The latest value of the contract in cents can be read as the probability of the outcome. So the market thinks there's only a 26% chance Trump will win the popular vote.

Electoral college is another matter.

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