FiveThirtyEight feels more like propaganda than actual polling. I didn’t pay attention after 2016 and will never again.

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@feloneouscat FiveThirtyEight are not pollsters, they do a statistical analysis of a aggregation of polls. This year the GOP skewed the results by putting out junk polls which 538 treated as legit.

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@cezee Yes, you are correct, they do not actively poll, but you are incorrect in that the remaining amount of work is exactly like a polling house.

You are correct that a meta-analysis is impossible if you accept every poll as valid (no matter how flawed).

At one point 538 actively looked at the raw questions and results (before weighting by polling houses).

It seems like they have given up on that.

If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck…

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