Recent evidence points toward abrupt, irreversible sea level rise along the US coast
Red alerts signaling an AMOC slowdown
#AMOC #climatechange #climatescience #IPCC
https://susanpcrawford.substack.com/p/recent-evidence-points-toward-abrupt
I am really really curious what #agriculture in the USA will look like once this AMOC tipping point starts impacting it. The description of what happens to Northern Europe is horrific.
@peeppeepcircus Bread basket moves north.
@Ruthat @peeppeepcircus was 100 degrees in Kyiv this summer, speaking of bread baskets
a climate journalist wrote a book about climate migration in the US. lots of different maps, but it sounds like agriculture is not going to be at the higher latitudes everywhere.
And I’m not sure where the AMOC fits in, how its slowing would affect the NE.
https://www.sciencenews.org/article/on-the-move-review-climate-change-where-people-live
@peeppeepcircus @Ruthat I think the AMOC affects ocean storm strength and trajectories.
From the article, if the AMOC slows down (a climate change tipping point):
“ It will likely lead to a far colder Northern Europe that will periodically be swept by very hot winds from the south—meaning subject to a "crazy stormy climate" with "absolutely unprecedented weather extremes," in Rahmstorf's words. And, more generally, it will have profound implications for weather and agriculture around the globe, as hot areas get even hotter and rain patterns shift dramatically.”
@peeppeepcircus @b4cks4w @Ruthat
When you nudge a stable system out of stability you get chaos, not a slightly different stability
@BrentSullivan @peeppeepcircus @Ruthat some questions about how stable this system is, but no doubt it's changing fast. Need another decade of data
@BrentSullivan @peeppeepcircus @Ruthat It's been slowing, so folks have been dropping more sensors in it and generally watching it more closely and @peeppeepcircus linked to a recent paper that they're radically moving up the timeline estimates. At the same time the new data are bringing new understanding of the AMOC and precluding some assumptions.
TL/DR; chaos: sooner
https://arxiv.org/html/2406.11738v1