Did you know?
Cone map does not convey forecast uncertainty.
Cone size is the 5-year average NHC forecast position error.
Slow movement of #Debby makes cone appear different than other storm cones but same size used all year.
Cone made: Forecast position points, draw 5-year average error circles, connect to make smooth cone shape.
That said, NHC forecast typically rival any single computer model during a season.
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Looking for forecast uncertainty information?
Read the 'Forecast Discussion' text link at 5 & 11am/pmEDT at https://www.hurricanes.gov/
3Aug24