Hello and Good Evening, Everyone!
Good to run into you, Mister E. :)
@TheAbbotTrithemius My friend, Abbot! Real good to see you are still here. How is everything going on in your life?
I am still here for sure. I am well, can't complain. The only thing really giving me concern is the election dread and reading and reading every metric I can find to get some idea of what's happening and I am cautiously hopeful sometimes and freaking out other times. It's a rollercoaster. At the moment I'm on the up part as seems Marist is reporting that a poll of early voters comes out as:
AZ: Harris 55 Trump 44
NC: Harris 55 Trump 43
GA: Harris 54 Trump 45.
Which would be awesome
But since Dems are over-represented in the sample since they have more early voters, it may be off quite a bit, as it's not the actual full electorate.
But I think these early voters are in the older range Gen X and Boomers cos they have the time to do that. The crowds at Harris rallies look to be in the two youngest cohorts 18 to 29 and 29 to 40 (I think?), so many of those people havent even voted yet. Which bodes well.
A bit more of an respnse then you reckoned eh Mister E. :)
@TheAbbotTrithemius @MisterE 🤣🤣🤣 So I was in institutional securities for decades. They operated in the grey, as is how it’s always been done. Of course Polymarket & then Bloomberg would say “nothing to see here”. Here’s a great read on how easy PA markets are to manipulate: https://insights.som.yale.edu/insights/dont-trust-the-political-prediction-markets
Thank you for sharing that! Just to confirm, if I'm reading the lower graph on the second screen, the odds for those three organization are showing trend lines with the odds growing greater for or against a trmp win??
@TheAbbotTrithemius I love the detail, such as it is, and that you are involved.