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Rogue demographers argue that the global population will be between 8 and 9 billion in 2100, rather than 11 billion (about 1 billion more than now) and that the population will fall dramatically after that: https://www.wired.com/story/the-world-might-actually-run-out-of-people/ #demography #population #sustainability #women #education #urbanization
@Karasu Carrying capacity? The Earth can definitely sustain 10 billion humans: this is just a question of the allocation of resources. The good news is that it looks like the human population will plateau around there or before. The bad news is that there is no political will to keep many billions of those lives form being miserable.
@koavf Since carrying capacity (assuming even a wisp of the natural world) is less than 4 billion, I'm guessing population will fall dramatically much sooner than that. We are well into "overshoot" and adding about 81 million per year. Recommended readings on that much misused term "sustainability":
http://paulchefurka.ca/Sustainability.html
http://energyskeptic.com/2020/paul-chefurka-more-thoughts-on-sustainability/