Passing thought: If anyone in the Republican House caucus had any balls, a true moderate could win this easily.
You just call Dem Leader Jeffries on his cell and tell him. "I'm gonna run, when the vote comes up, conveniently have ten of your members be absent during the vote."
This would lower the threshold so that the Loonies in the MAGA Caucus wouldn't have the ability to stop it, and the Moderate would become speaker, and the Crazy Caucus would instantly become nullified.