Hey @Render, I just listened to a Peter Zeihan video about how the Ukr strategy will probably change in the near future.
1. US Intel is providing highly accurate geo-intel on commanders
2. The Excalibur projectile will provide greater range and accuracy to within 16 ft
These two attributes together will give the Ukr army an ability to execute a decapitation strategy.
Valid?
@jurban @Render
Not Render, but my take:
1) US/NATO has been supplying this intel all along, so no change there.
2) The Excalibur shells are definitely a game changer as far as arty goes, but they aren't a magic bullet. They are in (relatively) short supply, and an appropriately equipped battery has to be in the right place at the right time to take advantage of its benefits.
Where it will really shine is counter-battery operations, and precision strikes like the river crossing recently.
@jurban @Render I wouldn't stress over much about that. Anti-drone systems are expensive and in relatively short supply. UA can field a lot more $500-$1,000 drones for spotting than RU can knock down.
I'd be more concerned that eventually RU will realize that they really shouldn't put an entire arty unit in a single open field together. Then again, it's been almost 80 days and they haven't figured it out yet so...
@Render @jurban
Yea, between the drone spotting and the way #Ukraine utilizes their "GIS Art for Artillery" C2 system (covered by @TrentTelenko - link below), they are making very impressive use of their guns.
UA is certainly outperforming RU significantly when it comes to effectiveness of artillery. RU has the sheer weight of mass to make up for some of that, but now that UA is getting the really long range goods, that's set to turn around pretty quickly.
@jgold @jurban https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidhambling/2022/05/12/drones-give-ukrainian-artillery-lethal-accuracy/