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Mr. Spock was terrible at making predictions. Events the supposedly logical Vulcan termed “impossible” actually happened 83% of the time. https://www.wired.com/2021/04/geeks-guide-spock-logic/
:: Spock goes all in ::
"The odds of your winning this hand are no better than four percent."
:: Checkov lays down a flush ::
"Remarkable."
"So it'd only work if it's your actual million-to-one chance," said the sergeant.
"I suppose that's right," said Nobby.
"So 999,943-to-one, for example—" Colon began.
Carrot shook his head. "Wouldn't have a hope. No one ever said, 'It's a 999,943-to-one chance but it just might work.'"
—Terry Pratchett, Guards! Guards!
@estherschindler
C3PO sucked at probability, too.
"NEVER tell me the odds!"