Kherson bridgehead held by 8 BTG's of differing strength and fighting ability. No Russian offensive moves here. Lots of artillery duels, almost nightly until a couple of Russian ammo dumps were hit. Afterwards Russian artillery slacked off.
Southern Front (Kamianske to Marinka) – 10 Russian BTG's in line here, 1 more in reserve on the left flank. Elements of 150th Motor Rifle Division and 810th Naval Infantry Brigade seen moving north out of Mariupol to reinforce the right flank of this line.
Eastern Front (Marinka to Sievierodonetsk) – 6 BTG's known to be in this line. Two from 150th Motor Rifle Division at Marinka. 1 from 5th CAA at Verkhnotoretske, two more from 150th and 1 from LNR 2nd Corp at Popsana. This means, among other things, that elements of the Russian 150th Motor Rifle Division are spread out across almost 250km of front line and in the command areas of three different Combined Arms Armies.
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This is also the region where all of the foreign volunteers and Wagner elements to the Russians are located.
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Sievierodonetsk (tip of the Pocket) – 7 BTG's identified here. 5 from 5th CAA (fresh as of last week, now much worse for the wear), 1 from 90th Guards Tank Division, and 1 from 41st CAA (both rebuilt from survivors of the debacle NE of Kyiv).
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North of the Pocket/southern tip of the Bulge – Some 20 BTG's located here, in and around Iziyum. Slowly forcing their way south against stubborn Ukrainian defenses. The Russians are still moving in long columns along roads out in the open and still taking massive losses for doing so. They are very clearly trying to close off the Sievierodonetsk Pocket before the Ukrainian forces further north cut the Russians off from Russia itself.
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North of the Bulge – Two BTG's from 106th Airborne withdrawn from here after failing to stop Ukrainian raids on the north-south supply lines into the Bulge. Those were replaced by two BTG's rebuilt from the survivors of 35th CAA (Butchers of Bucha). 7 BTG's in reserve behind them, all rebuilt units from the Northern Front and of varying strength and capabilities. Ukrainians are hunting the 35th CAA units more than the 35th CAA units are attempting to defend the supply lines.
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The Russians are bleeding out troops and vehicles for every inch of Ukrainian territory that they take. The only tactical change that they've made thus far is to add massed and inaccurate artillery fire to the places they're trying to advance. In the process they're shooting the barrels out of their guns and resorting to Cold War era stockpiles of ammo (with a correspondingly higher failure/dud rate).
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The Russians appear to have not only not solved their command and control issues, they appear to have muddled them even further. For example there are elements of 5 different CAA's and 9 Divisions in and around the Bulge area – Which one is in command? Because it looks like the various elements of those CAA's are doing whatever they feel like doing, almost regardless of what the other elements are doing.
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OH!
And the Ukrainian's managed to hit a second very large oil and fuel storage depot (two actually) inside of Russia. Given the size of the fires still burning, this could have an almost instant negative effect on further Russian offensives.
@Render how far into Russia is Ukraine striking??
Are these strikes with weapons they already had, or is this now possible bc of the heavier weapon shipments other countries finally agreed to supply them with?
This is the first I've heard of Ukr hitting targets inside Rus, but I hope they keep it coming and make Putin regret this for the rest of his (hopefully very short) life 👍
@alt_PastaTits If confirmed than this will be the third time that Ukraine has hit targets inside of Russia itself since Feb 24th when they hit a fighter-bomber base with a long range rocket. The second time was a fuel storage depot in Belgorad, where all of the Northern theater units are reforming.
What was used remains to be seen.