#Politics Five Thirty Eight has lost some of its luster due to the decline in poll reliability, i.e. underestimating Democratic strength.

That said, 538 has #Biden winning the electoral college 276-262 over #Trump.

Assuming the underestimation continues, Biden is in pretty good shape, despite the pundits.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/