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Hurricane reached Cat5 overnight. Now at sunrise it’s undergoing some structural changes after that incredible rapid intensification. Very small eye. Outlook currently favors continued intensification after this morning’s apparent reset finishes. 8Sept2023 7aEDT/AST

Newly designated Tropical Depression 14 expected to turn North far out at sea.

If looking for that turn models show for , NHC cone only goes out 5 days while models go out much further. NHC doesn’t have a 7 day cone(yet!). Give it time.

11aEDT cone map & 7Sep23

Looks like we’re getting closer to our next named storm. Invest departing Cabo Verde Islands in the Eastern Atlantic. Headed out to sea with a Northward turn expected this weekend. 7Sept2023

Hurricane (Atlantic) relatively unchanged overnight. Microwave image shows nice core, intensification likely to resume soon. Air recon checks out this evening. Lot of short term model consistency, adds confidence to NHC's forecast. 5aEDT Thursday 7Sept23

Cat5 Hurricane (East Pacific - out to sea) has likely peaked overnight as satellite reveals warming cloud tops just before sunrise and a trochoidal wobble indicating ERC (Eyewall replacement cycle) in a strong hurricane. 7Sept2023

Chris
18z (Evening) models for Hurricane right where we'd expect them to be. USAF air recon Hurricane Hunters go hunting Thursday afternoon. NOAA adds planes starting Friday. (Air recon data can improve storm forecast by as much as 20%). 6Sept23

When the satellite can barely keep up with the speed of clouds spinning around the eye...

Hurricane 6Sept23 (East Pacific - out to sea)

Tropical Storm looking healthy Tuesday evening with good outflow, storms firing and a nice spiral of rain bands taking shape. 5Sept2023

Tropical Depression 13 is forecast to be Cat4 just Northeast of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico this weekend. Any deviation in the forecast could result in impacts to the Northeastern Caribbean region. 11aEDT/AST 5Sept2023

Remnants of former Hurricane slowing down just South of Nova Scotia & Newfoundland Sunday evening. May bring some scattered showers and breezy conditions this week if drifts too much closer. 3Sept2023

Next area just rolled into the Eastern Atlantic. Plenty of time to watch as will take about a week to near Caribbean. Models favor development. 2Sep23. Euro/GFS 7 day shown(model skill past 7days isn't great so be careful posting/looking at possible solutions, they'll change):

now 'Post tropical' just meaning lost tropical characteristics. Hard to see in water vapor (yellow/blue/white colored image) & infrared (black/white/blue image). System clips Bermuda this weekend. May curve back for some rain to the Northeast US or Canada next week. 31Aug

Appears Hurricane is decoupling from storms as wind shear negatively affects the system. Note the low level cloud spin center of image as storms bubble off to the South / Southeast (storm levels like to be nicely aligned). Out to sea in Atlantic. 31Aug2023

Sunrise over Tropical Storm , Hurricane , ex-Gert, and newly designated Tropical Storm in the Atlantic (pictured from left to right). All heading out to sea. Idalia to move near Bermuda this weekend on its way out. 31Aug2023

Tropical Storm is slowly pulling away into the Atlantic (near Morehead City, NC now) with heavy rains Eastern NC and SE VA / Hampton Roads region this morning. 7aEDT 31Aug2023

Storm Surge from onshore wind direction + high tide coming into Charleston & Myrtle Beach, SC as well as Wrightsville Beach, NC. 8pEDT 30Aug2023

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