Did you know?

Hurricane #Lee & #Margot cones are same size.

How?
NHC cone size is same for every storm, resized at start of each year. Each may look different based on storm movement speed, direction and map scale. Cone maps do not convey track confidence or storm size. (Cont.)

FYI:
Your apps/sites that show Hurricane #Lee rain “radar” are not actual but simulated radar as system is outside of any land based radar range currently.

Planes will fly around Hurricanes. Inevitably there’s always one that will fly right over high enough but not recommended.

With Tropical Storm Watch for Bermuda, official Hurricane #Lee updates from US National Hurricane Center(NHC) are issued every 3 hours at 2,5,8,11a/pEDT,AST (3,6,9,12a/pADT) at https://hurricanes.gov
8pEDT 12Sep:
Winds 115mph
Moving NW 7mph
Pressure 946mb
515miles SSW of Bermuda

Tropical Storm to near Hurricane force winds may arrive into Northeast US & Eastern Canada Friday evening & into the weekend. Watch likely issued later Wednesday or Thursday(time based issued). Expect potential tree/power issues anywhere 39mph+/- & higher. Exact detail still TBD. 12Sept23 Hurricane #Lee

Tropical Storm / Hurricane Watch may be issued for #Bermuda this evening or sometime Tuesday for some impacts from Hurricane #Lee this week. These are time based issued (48hrs prior to TS winds start). As such NE US / Eastern Canada may have issued sometime Wednesday. 11Sept2023

Sunset over Hurricane #Lee and Hurricane #Margot in the Atlantic. 11Sept2023

Hurricane #Lee’s five day cone map history through 5pEDT/AST 10Sept2023

Hurricane #Lee intensifying once more. Expected to slow to a crawl moving generally WNW before its turn North later in the week. Center 375miles Northeast of Puerto Rico. Hurricane force winds extend about 40miles(65km) from center, Tropical Storm winds 160miles(260km). 10Sep2023

Hurricane #Lee still fighting wind shear as continues it's slow but steady march to the West-Northwest Saturday morning. 9Sep23

Tropical Storm #Margot fighting wind shear in the Eastern Atlantic. If can make it, will find a pocket to develop in further North as heads up between Bermuda and The Azores. 9Sept23

Tropical Storm #Jova (East Pacific) steadily winding down well West of Mexico. Storms are fading as can see on infrared satellite below and will become post-tropical before too much longer. 9Sept23

Some of those altitude drops when air recon enters eye of Hurricane #Lee… roller coaster! 1015aEDT 8Sept23

Hurricane #Lee reached Cat5 overnight. Now at sunrise it’s undergoing some structural changes after that incredible rapid intensification. Very small eye. Outlook currently favors continued intensification after this morning’s apparent reset finishes. 8Sept2023 7aEDT/AST

Newly designated Tropical Depression 14 expected to turn North far out at sea.

If looking for that turn models show for #Lee, NHC cone only goes out 5 days while models go out much further. NHC doesn’t have a 7 day cone(yet!). Give it time.

11aEDT cone map #TD14 & #Lee 7Sep23

Looks like we’re getting closer to our next named storm. Invest #96L departing Cabo Verde Islands in the Eastern Atlantic. Headed out to sea with a Northward turn expected this weekend. 7Sept2023

Hurricane #Lee (Atlantic) relatively unchanged overnight. Microwave image shows nice core, intensification likely to resume soon. Air recon checks out this evening. Lot of short term model consistency, adds confidence to NHC's forecast. 5aEDT Thursday 7Sept23

Cat5 Hurricane #Jova (East Pacific - out to sea) has likely peaked overnight as satellite reveals warming cloud tops just before sunrise and a trochoidal wobble indicating ERC (Eyewall replacement cycle) in a strong hurricane. 7Sept2023

Chris
18z (Evening) models for Hurricane #Lee right where we'd expect them to be. USAF air recon Hurricane Hunters go hunting Thursday afternoon. NOAA adds planes starting Friday. (Air recon data can improve storm forecast by as much as 20%). 6Sept23

When the satellite can barely keep up with the speed of clouds spinning around the eye...

Hurricane #Jova 6Sept23 (East Pacific - out to sea)

Tropical Storm #Lee looking healthy Tuesday evening with good outflow, storms firing and a nice spiral of rain bands taking shape. 5Sept2023