Not hard to see the wind shear over invest #90L. Lower level clouds over North Florida moving WSW, upper level clouds blowing top of storms ENE. #FLwx 12Jun2024 6pEDT

NHC monitoring two areas: invest #90L near Tampa (20% tropical development chance, wind shear high off US East coast, but still heavy rains to FL region); area South of Mexico (20% chance). Some models hint at possible Bay of Campeche region next week(to be determined). 11Jun2024

NHC monitoring the possibility of a Low forming along a trough currently producing disorganized scattered rain in the Eastern Gulf of Mexico. They give it 20% chance of tropical development off the Southeast US coast later this week into the weekend. 11Jun2024

CAG(Central American Gyre: General spin of weather over region) setting up. Increased rain chances. Can spin up ghost storms in models. Can actually spin out TC’s either side of Central America. If model watching look for consistency rather then random run to run storms. 10Jun24

Still quiet in the Atlantic (early season activity has no correlation to how rest of season will be). Typically watching Gulf of Mexico region or US East coast for development potential in June. Models leaning towards increased moisture in portions of Gulf next week.
8Jun24

Today, 1June, marks the start of the Atlantic & Central Pacific hurricane season and day 18 of the East Pacific (started 15May) where there’s currently a low 10% chance of development South of Mexico.

(Regions are for North of the equator) 2024

Our two areas South of Mexico have now lost their chance to develop into tropical trouble. No development expected per NHC. Looking quiet for a bit. 19May2024

Disorganized scattered showers continue South of Mexico as the sun sets. NHC with low 20% tropical development chance two regions. 17May2024

While daily outlooks have begun for the Eastern Pacific and Atlantic basins, Central Pacific outlooks (Hawaii) will begin 1June2024 when the season begins. #HIwx

15May2024 marks the start of the East Pacific(EPAC) hurricane season. NHC monitoring scattered showers South of Mexico that currently has low 30% chance of development next 7 days as moves West-Northwest. NHC to begin normal 4x daily updates for the season on 7day outlooks today.

NHC will begin 4x daily tropical weather outlooks(TWO) for the 2024 Atlantic basin hurricane season today. Released at 2 & 8am,pm EDT/AST. These outlooks highlight any areas being monitored for potential tropical trouble over the next seven days. Currently no areas. 15May2024

NHC monitoring scattered showers South of Mexico/Guatemala in East Pacific. Low 0% development chance next 2 days, 30% next 7 as generally moves West-Northwest. NHC will update again by 2p Tuesday. Right on cue for start of hurricane season this week.
13May2024

Hurricane Hunter US East coast tour continues this week. Next stop, Charleston,SC 9May2024 & Sanford,FL 10May2024. Meet the crew, forecasters, tour the planes and much more if you have the chance! In storm air recon can improve forecast by as much as 20%. #HurricaneSeason

CPC still holding a 20%+ chance of tropical development South of Mexico in Eastern Pacific maybe next week.

NHC has no areas currently, but will still begin daily outlooks next Wednesday with the start of Hurricane season 15May2024.

Just ten days until start of East Pacific Hurricane season(15May). Wind shear is still too high to support tropical systems most areas. But further South of Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador & Nicaragua shear has relaxed. Will watch for signs of tropical trouble here later this month.

Thursday morning sunrise reveals area in Eastern Atlantic is devoid of storms. Wind shear has blown them away. Remaining low level swirl of harmless clouds has entered an area of extremely dry air. Not expected to return. 25Apr2024 8aEDT/AST, 9aADT

NHC monitoring its first North Atlantic area of 2024 about 900miles (1450km) Northwest of Cabo Verde Islands in the Eastern Atlantic.

Entering high wind shear and dry air with displaced storms. Will fall part soon.

Reminder hurricane season is near.

24Apr24

Taking a look at history the Atlantic tends to form storms closer to home in May & June. Eastern Pacific can become busy along or offshore of South coast of Mexico.

Atlantic season starts 1June, daily updates from NHC begin 15May.
Eastern Pacific season begins 15May.
(2024)

2024 US Hurricane Awareness Tour: Meet members of NHC, NOAA, USAF and tour Hurricane Hunter aircraft at the airport!
May 6 - Portland, ME
May 7 - Albany, NY
May 8 - Norfolk, VA
May 9 - Charleston, SC
May 10 - Sanford, FL
#MEwx #NYwx #VAwx #SCwx #FLwx

Additional details TBD.

The 8Apr2024 solar eclipse:
(📸: NOAA GOESeast satellite)