Scattered showers continue in the Western Caribbean & across portions of Central America Monday evening. Per NHC this area has 70% chance of some tropical development later this week. Expected to move off to the Northeast. Heavy rains possible Jamaica, Cuba, Hispaniola. 13Nov2023

Continuing to monitor the possible development of a Low pressure in the Western Caribbean late this coming week. Movement to the Northeast is currently favored. NHC with 40% development chance. For now, just scattered showers across Central America region. 11Nov23

Watching the Western Caribbean next week for any signs of tropical trouble as increase in moisture sits over warm waters. May be one of the last potential areas to watch before season comes to a close. 8Nov23

For those countries/states that follow daylight saving (which ends tonight for many 4Nov23) Hurricane/outlook data from NHC will appear one hour sooner. NHC does not honor daylight saving. For areas that do not either, update times will appear unchanged.

Tropical Storm #Pilar continues out to sea in the Eastern Pacific as invest #97L moves into Central America from the Atlantic. Heavy rains, flooding, mudslide threat. 3Nov23

Tropical Storm #Pilar makes its turn, heading out to sea. Running into Tehuano winds & dry air = weakening system.

Invest #97L in Caribbean hasn't organized. NHC lowers odds to 30% chance of tropical development. Additional rain into Central America, soaked by Pilar/TD21. 1Nov23

50mph(85km/h) Tropical Storm #Pilar still drifting near the coast bringing scattered rains. Expected to start pulling away Wednesday. 30-Oct2023 9pCST/11pEDT

Invest #97L over the Eastern Caribbean. Bringing scattered showers into Puerto Rico, Hispaniola to ABC islands region. Moving West. Some models keep due West, others turn North over Cuba. For now, scattered shower blob with tropical trouble potential. 30-Oct2023

Invest #96L has run into very dry air near the Northern Bahamas. Just a spin of clouds. NHC now has development chances at zero. Strong cold front pushing across the US to kick out to sea this week. 30-Oct2023

40mph(65km/h) Tropical Storm #Pilar drifting towards El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua through Wednesday. Then quickly turns around out to sea. Could approach land as 70mph(112km/h) strong Tropical Storm per NHC before weakening trend begins. Heavy rains. 30-Oct2023 3aCST/5aEDT

#TD19e disorganized scattered shower blob Sunday morning, but NHC has near Hurricane force possibly Tuesday near Guatemala / El Salvador before turning back out to sea and weakening. Heavy rains into the region. 29-Oct2023 Tropical Depression 19e current winds 35mph(55km/h).

Tropical Storm #Tammy in the Atlantic is gone once more. Doing one last loop far out at sea before it's final vanishing act. No more advisories from NHC will be issued. 29-Oct2023

Invest #96L helping spark showers across Puerto Rico. System had nice ball of convection overnight but at sunrise that collapsed. Possibly due to mid-level dry air. If storm-less spin can form new showers may get brief system. But strong cold front Tuesday sends away. 29-Oct2023

Tropical Storm #Tammy redevelops about 215miles(350km) East of Bermuda. Winds 65mph(100km/h), drifting Northwest 3mph(6km/h). Expected to turn back East and out to sea as slowly weakens. 12pADT/11aEDT 27-Oct2023

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#Tammy has become an Extratropical Cyclone (former tropical system (post-tropical) that now derives it's energy from baroclinic process rather than warm waters; running into a frontal boundary, wind shear and dry air). Therefore no more advisories to be issued by NHC. 26-Oct2023

Appears #Tammy (Atlantic) is interacting with frontal boundary, nearby dry air & wind shear this evening - loosing tropical characteristics. 25Oct2023

Hurricane #Otis - brief destructive system, now no more. 25Oct2023

Hurricane #Otis makes landfall near Acapulco Mexico as Cat5 with 165 mph (270 km/h) winds. Now rapidly weakening as hits high terrain just inland. 25Oct2023 135aCST/335aEDT

Those wobbles will make all the difference tonight. Hurricane winds extend out to 30miles(45km) from center. 24Oct2023 9pCST/11pEDT #Otis