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Interesting, and I wonder how many Americans aren't taking advantage of this program because they simply don't know about it? "Americans Are Saving $500 Million Monthly on Internet Fees" bloomberg.com/news/articles/20

Yeah, but: "Even after a 3.5% decline in new-lease rents since last summer, rents in many cities remain 20% or 30% higher than they were when the pandemic began. Rents in the Tucson, Ariz., Tampa, Fla., and Miami metros are all 35% higher than in March 2020." wsj.com/articles/apartment-ren

In the energy complex, West Texas intermediate -- the U.S. benchmark -- had another sideways week last week. meanwhile, tried to rally last week. We'd need to see follow-through on higher volume to believe that.

With the U.S. dollar rallying, sits on the opposite end of the seesaw of pain.

US Dollar Index continues to rally as market ratchets up expectations for more Fed rate hikes.

The week before last, it looked like bounced from support. Last week, it came down to test and potentially break support. The saving grace is volume was low. We'll see how this week goes.

Bottom line on all this /PCe stuff I'm posting. The Fed, by its own measures, is still behind the curve. The next interest rate hike will likely be 50 basis points (the market prefers 25) and the forecast range of where rates will top out will move higher.

From Mike Konzal: It's not just that goods had a big positive number, it's that the PCE non-housing services, the specific number the Fed is watching, had a big hit on the positive side and hasn't been slowing.

The core personal-consumption expenditures price index, also known as the core PCE deflator, rose 4.7% year over year in January, up from 4.4% in December and higher than the 4.3% growth economists surveyed by FactSet had expected. The increase in core PCE for December, initially reported as 4.4%, was revised to 4.6%, showing price growth at the end of last year was hotter than previously thought.
Headline y/y 5.4% vs 5%
Consumer spending 1.8% vs 1.4%
Personal income 0.6% vs 1%

The Biden boom continues.
U.S. Jobless claims declined 3k to 192k (200k est)
Continuing claims dropped 37k to 1,654k (1,700 est)
On the downside, the Fed hates the strong jobs market. This news gives it no reason to stop hiking its benchmark interest rate.

Coupsolini, who reversed safety regulations on rail transport, is visiting East Palestine, Ohio today.

Isn't that like the arson turning up to the fire & then blaming the fireman for doing a crappy job?

All eyes on Federal Reserve rate hikes: The market continues to price in higher probability of higher for longer Fed rate hikes. As long as this happens, we can expect stocks to sell off. Next inflation hints/data: We get the February Fed minutes on Wednesday and January core PCE on Friday.

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RealSeanBrodrick

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