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So, been writing since February about the war, doing analysis, chiefly on #russia. I have also been eating my wheaties regarding the #caucasus because I expect those to blow.
This is especially the case with #dagestan. This also means a lot of #telegram using Google translate.
I wonder if #COSO has a group of dedicated people to do this? We have formed a tight group at the bird app, but I suspect a lot of changes come our way.
Yes, medium is where I run the longer pieces. And my notes are just groaning at this point
After the war, I hope to be able to look into the reconstruction of #ukraine. But I a,so expect the #federation to likely break apart and a #civilwar is possible.
The chances are growing, in my view.