Rain and strong winds could have a huge impact on the @Chiefs vs. @Ravens game tonight.
Here’s what it means for betting 🧵
High-resolution models show gusty winds moving through Kansas City tonight, potentially peaking at 25-30 mph in the 3rd/4th quarter.
Data shows that winds of 20+ mph decrease quarterback completion percentage by 10% on average, while the interception rate increases by 8%.
Winds between 6-10 mph decrease completion percentage by just 1%, while increasing the interception rate by 1%.
Strong winds disrupt the passing game, potentially giving an advantage to the defense and favoring teams with a strong rushing attack or solid run defense.
Strong winds also have a major impact on field goal accuracy, especially from long range (40+ yards).
Winds can push a field goal by as much as 2-4 yards. A field goal post is only 6.2 yards wide, meaning a kick aimed perfectly down the middle could miss wide right or left.