Everything in American politics changed with Dobbs,
Republicans have underperforming public polls in races of all kinds all across the country since Dobbs. We’ve been overperforming public polls not them.
Trump underperformed – not overperformed – public polls in his primary elections, sometimes by a big number
The fascists underperformed public polls in the recent European and French elections, and the right got blown out in the UK.
~ Simon Rosenberg
I see enough about the polls (even though I don't usually look at them) to know this race is considered close.
Personally, I don't see it as close. I see a landslide coming, at least at the top of the ticket.
Who would vote for Trump, who is left? Women? Blacks? Latinos? LGBTQ? Veterans?
I've been wrong before and will be again but I just don't see small hands getting his act together.