For tonight's update we're going to go clockwise around the map.

Belarus threat to march south into Ukraine alongside of the Polish border remains just that. An idle threat. Russian forces located in Brest (SW Belarus) made one probe in the 2nd week of the war, got roughly handled, retreated in disarray, & never came back.

At least 2 of the Russian BTG's (29th CAA) near Brest have been moved east to join the NW axis of attack on Kyiv. Where they've piled into that same traffic jam/parking lot.

On that NW Kyiv axis.

Russian 35th and 36th CAA's (whose vehicles comprise the bulk of the now infamous traffic jam NW of Kyiv) are still trying to bypass Kyiv's western side. And still getting chewed up by ambushes and local counterattacks without making much headway.

Fresh Ukr reserves counterattacking into the exposed western flank of 35th CAA may have wrecked as many 5 of the 8 Russian BTG's in that army.

In fighting nearer to NW Kyiv the stalled Russian ABN units are still stalled. What's left of them are struggling to hold their positions against Ukr units desperate to reach the ABN artillery that's still shelling the "humanitarian corridor" at Irpin.

It's been confirmed that the Russian 331st regiment of the 98th Guards ABN Division no longer exists. 1 of its 2 battalions almost completely wiped out, the other with 75% casualties. Both battalion commanders and the regimental commander KIA.

NE axis on Kyiv.

41st CAA remains stationary above Chernihiv. 2nd CAA forces advancing from the NE of Ukraine remain stalled south of Chernihiv.

1st GTA is struggling to hold the 3 separate locations where they ended up when they ran out of fuel and tanks 2 weeks ago.

6th CAA has completely replaced 1st GTA in front of Kharkiv. It's artillery is shelling the city at random, and its mobile forces are attempting to push south around the city to turn the northern flank of the Donetsk line.

South of 6th CAA the 20th Guards CAA has made 4 separate attacks against the northern end of the Donetsk line and Ukr units north of the line. As with every other Russian advance into Ukraine, each of the 20th Guards attacks penetrated into the Ukr defenses only as far as the fuel in their tanks lasted then with their supply convoys being chopped up behind them they froze there. In some cases thye've been pushed back by Ukr counterattacks.

Mariupol and the south end of the Donetsk line.

DNR militia backed by the Russian 150th Tank Division (8th CAA) pushed through a gap between the southern Donetsk line and the Mariupol defenses capturing a key road junction NE of Mariupol and creating a double envelopment of the city. Both Russian foreces took heavy losses in manpower and vehicles to do so, but are still close enough to the Russian border to be reinforced and re-supplied quickly.

...

Mariupol II.

DNR's 1st militia corp also briefly probed into the eastern suburbs with tanks, lost half of their tanks and retreated quickly. Undercover of heavy shelling of the city they were replaced in the line by an "elite" Chechen brigade. The Chechen's drove deep into central Mariupol, shooting everybody that they saw and proudly recording much of it. Russian National Guard units flooded in behind them to begin the "cleansing" of the city.

Mariupol III.

Remaining Ukr units, all mixed together in ad hoc fighting groups are still holding large parts of the city but they're running out of ammo and healthy bodies to shoot that ammo back at the Russians.

58th CAA's right wing remains stalled west of Mariupol where it also is shelling the city randomly.

Russian ABN and Naval Infantry elements attached to the 58th CAA are still halted with heavy losses south of Zaporozhye and its Dnieper bridges.

Southern Front west axis.

58th CAA elements are struggling to hold on to the Kherson bridgehead in the face of almost non-stop Ukr attacks. Most the 58th's elements on this axis are no longer combat effective and are slowly being replaced by the Russian 49th CAA out of Crimea.

Ukr forces are already in artillery range of the Kherson bridges which will make it difficult for the Russians to continue reinforcing the Kherson bridgehead.

This is the most promising of all of Ukr's counter attacks.

Southern Front West Axis II.

If the Ukr can retake control of just the western end of the Kherson bridges they will cut off every single Russian unit on the west side of the Dnieper river. If the Ukr forces can push past the Kherson bridges to the 3 crossing points out of Crimea they can cut off every single Russian unit in southern Ukraine.

And in doing so break the western side of the siege of Mariupol.

I don't think the UKkr has the resources to reach that far. Unless the Russians rout.

Addendum:

Ukr Army is reporting that the Russian 6th Tank Brigade has been wiped out. But there is some confusion here.

The Russian 6th Tank Brigade was disbanded after being badly mauled west of Kharkiv in the 1st week of the war. Then the survivors were reconstituted as the 26th Tank Brigade of the 47th Guards Tank Division of 1st GTA.

The survivors of 47th Guards Tank hold one of the 1st GTA's pockets east of Kyiv...

Right on schedule (ok, maybe a little late for yours truly but whatever)...

Nathan Ruser documents one of the Ukr counterattacks against the western flank of Russian 35th CAA.

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