People posting FiveThrityEight like it's gospel, forget:
A) It is financially beneficial for them to promote election results as a HORSE RACE!
B) Their aggregation is flawed and have admitted so.
C) They were cartoonisly inaccurate in 2020 that they had Biden winning Ohio and Florida by 5 points (he lost both states by massive margins compared to their aggregation).
If you haven't learned your lesson by now that site does anything but inform you on accurate polling, you are beyond help.