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I totally buy that trump at least "gave aid and comfort" to people now convicted of seditious conspiracy & should be held ineligible for public office.

But I will be shocked if SCOTUS holds that he can be kept off state ballots.

GOP lawyer with ties to three Trump rivals enters 14th Amendment fray

wapo.st/3sXp6GN

@rpardee

It's a certainty that there will be multiple rulings in different states with different answers. The SC needs to answer the question now. It does no good for the to answer this question after the republican primary, or after the next election or after the next inauguration. Another question might arise, if it's a 6-3 decision will anyone believe SCOTUS is not corrupt?

@KGinKS yeah, seems likely. I expect we'll have to wait for at least one SoS to officially declare him ineligible for it to be brought before SCOTUS. And they'll probably need to wait for him to be the official nominee.

I expect a no-written-opinion "shadow docket" ruling amounting to "he's good--you gotta put him on the ballot".

But hey--maybe the republicans will wake up & nominate someone else.

@rpardee

really hard to say. The law was created shortly after the Civil war. they would have to convince a judge that Trump actually "engaged in insurrection or rebellion" when it was more of an incitement, until he told them he loved them and for them to go home peacefully

Does telling people to "Fight like hell" and "Do the right thing" count? But one thing for sure, there has to be a ruling and not a "Let the voters decide"

@Kinnison well, there is also the "or given aid or comfort to the enemies thereof" language, which I think is more permissive. I think there's a good argument that by not calling in the national guard during the insurrection (at least) that qualifies as giving aid to the insurrectionists.

I'm convinced anyway... 😛

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