*this will be a thread, please hold all responses/questions until you see EoT at the end of the thread.

Confirmation that N Korea is sending "artillery" to Russia.

There seems to be some question as to whether this means guns/rocket launchers or shells. There is another question regarding if this is a one time deal or an ongoing pipeline.

But Ukraine has already captured N Korean artillery ammo, which would seem to indicate an ongoing pipeline.

...

The Russians seem to have rebuilt at least part of their supply of long range missiles and have resumed using those missiles on Ukrainian civilians and civilian infrastructure.

The Russian air force has also gone very active with strikes all along the front lines over the last two to three weeks (they are at least hitting military targets).

Russian repairs to the Kerch bridge are slightly ahead of schedule and progressing rapidly.

...

All but a couple of the new Ukrainian brigades are now in or near the front line. Most of the last batch going to the Eastern front where they appear to be replacing or reinforcing older formations

Ukrainian bite and hold tactics continue successfully in two locations on the Eastern front (north and south of Bakhmut) and two locations on the Southern front (Robotyne and Marine bulges).

...

Russian forces defending in those four locations are still slowly collapsing into their second line of fortifications. Several Russian brigade sized formations have all but disappeared from the maps (the flag representing them on the map is still there but there aren't many troops under that flag).

In a couple of locations the Russians have resorted to using Spetznaz formations as counter attack forces...and still failed to stop the Ukrainians.

...

For the moment Ukraine does have artillery superiority around the locations where they're advancing but I have no idea how long they'll be able to maintain that.

...

Scholz (Germany) and Biden (US) are once again balking at sending long range weapons (Taurus/ATACMS) to the Ukrainians. The excuse that it would be an "escalation" is a lie that will only make the war last longer.

EoT

Follow

@Render
Is it realistic for AFU to more heavily weight the disruption of the supply lines over immediate progress on the front lines?

Seems like their naval capabilities are improving. Special forces and partisans are penetrating even deeper. If the R's are are starved of supplies, they just have to get them to use what they have on the front lines to fully weaken them.

@jurban It's not an either/or thing for the Ukrainians. If they don't strangle those supply lines and keep them that way they will not be able to push the Russians out of southern Ukraine. One must happen or the other will fail.

They are always seeking new ways to strike at the Black Sea fleet and the air defenses/air bases in Crimea. And they have gotten very good at it.

Sign in to participate in the conversation

CounterSocial is the first Social Network Platform to take a zero-tolerance stance to hostile nations, bot accounts and trolls who are weaponizing OUR social media platforms and freedoms to engage in influence operations against us. And we're here to counter it.