I've seen a lot of people worrying about the small advances Russia is making in eastern #Ukraine. They shouldn’t be. Ukraine is trading territory for time, and inflicting terrible losses on RU while doing so. They know a shit ton of heavy weapons are on the way. All they need to do is stall for time and keep their troops alive.

1/5

They are only getting stronger, while Russia loses irreplaceable armor by the day. As long as #Ukraine doesn’t throw their forces away pointlessly, and once their troops are fully trained on all their new goodies, they’ll very easily take back everything they are giving up right now. UA is playing this perfectly right now.

2/5

As it stands right now, #Ukraine can’t compete in artillery duels, and RU has fallen back on their old doctrine of massive arty strikes to force UA troops out of an area, followed by small reconnaissance in force pushes by infantry to capture the area. But this is all contingent on RU having artillery superiority. What’s the best way to counter artillery? Longer range artillery.

3/5

Once #Ukraine troops are fully trained on the NATO artillery, and it makes its way to the front lines, the momentum of battle is going to swing drastically. UA will outrange RU arty, and will very easily be able to push those small RU recon forces back out of everything they’ve “captured” this past week. UA will continue to have the morale, armor, and manpower advantages as well.

4/5