I would be remiss if I didn't provide the following warning about 2021:
The first months of this year are going to suck like never before. At Christmas there were about 6M cases of COVID that are less than 30 days old - a 50% increase from 4M on Thanksgiving where
2 weeks later daily deaths had increased 43% to 2300 from 1600.
We hit ~2700 deaths at Christmas.
W/ 6M cases, at the same rate, we're looking at 3860 deaths **per day** after Jan 8th.
And, it's probably not going to be linear.