The most likely day statistically for a hurricane to hit Florida is September 10.
Statistics are right on schedule ...
Invest 95 has a 90% probability of becoming a tropical event, per the National Hurricane Center. It should be in the Carribean by September 10.
Per Mike's Weather Page, some models suggest it will curve north prior to Florida, but too early to tell. The early models also suggest it could be Cat 3+.
Stay tuned.