1. Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea by the end of the week.

Gradual development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week while the system drifts generally northward over the central or western Caribbean Sea.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0%.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40%.